December 31st Bowls Game-By-Game Totals College Football Picks

Friday, December 28, 2018 3:58 PM UTC

Friday, Dec. 28, 2018 3:58 PM UTC

It is the last day of college football for 2018 and we have six solid games for you to choose from if you are considering totals. We have a lot of action, let's go!

Military Bowl:Virginia Tech (7-5 O/U) vs. Cincinnati (4-7 O/U)Monday, Dec. 31, 12:00 p.m. ET (ESPN)Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium - Annapolis, MDFree NCAAF Pick: UnderBest Line Offered: Intertops

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The days of Virginia Tech being defensive juggernaut are in the rearview mirror, as they allowed 31 or more points seven times, including 49 at Old Dominion. It would seem a good Cincinnati squad could take advantage of the Hokies, but this season the Bearcats only averaged 25.3 PPG when they were not at home. Add this to the fact Virginia Tech was nothing special on offense at 29.8 PPG (61st) and they will go up against a Cincinnati defense which was 7th in points allowed at 16.1 and we have the making of a game that should be UNDER 53.5.

Sun Bowl:Pittsburgh (5-7 O/U) vs. Stanford (7-4 O/U)Monday, Dec. 31, 2:00 p.m. ET (CBS)Sun Bowl Stadium - El Paso, TXFree NCAAF Pick: UnderBest Line Offered: YouWager

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The Sun Bowl has a nice contrast in styles. Pittsburgh is a running team that averages 230 yards a game and they really struggle via the forwards pass at 142 YPG. Stanford has a strong passing offense at 287 yards, but that was in part necessitated because they uncharacteristically could not run, compiling only 108 YPG on the ground. On the other side of the ball, the Panthers could be run on and the Cardinal threw on, yet, that does not appear to be a concern, as those match the weaknesses of the opposing offenses. There appears to be enough here to go UNDER 52 for college football picks with Stanford 10-2 UNDER when away vs. teams with32 or more possession minutes.

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https://t.co/km0nCPiUkC pic.twitter.com/KHfnrTshLc

— Hyundai Sun Bowl (@HyundaiSunBowl) 28 de dezembro de 2018
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RedBox Bowl:Michigan State (4-8 O/U) vs. Oregon (5-7 O/U)Monday, Dec. 31, 3:00 p.m. ET (FOX)Levi's Stadium - Santa Clara, CAFree NCAAF Pick: OverBest Line Offered: YouWager

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Michigan State got back to basics on defense and held opposing teams to only 18 PPG, which was 13th nationally. On the other side of the ball it was a complete nightmare. The Spartans tallied only 19.8 PPG (T-122nd), largely because QB's Brian Lerwicke and Rocky Lombardi were horrible passers and foes stuffed the box and dared them to complete passes. After three softies in nonconference, Oregon's offense, which looked sharp early, fell off dramatically and began to rebound late. With the total at 48, oddsmakers are not optimistic the Ducks will move the ball up and down the field. While the Under seems like the obvious choice, Sparty coach Mark Dantonio always has a few surprises and his teams are 16-6 OVER with two or more weeks between games.

Liberty Bowl:Missouri (7-5 O/U) vs. Oklahoma State (8-4 O/U)Monday, Dec. 31, 3:45 p.m. ET (ESPN)Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium - Memphis, TNFree NCAAF Pick: UnderBest Line Offered: Intertops

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After much consternation, going to take a flyer on UNDER 75. The Liberty Bowl opened at 71 and it has steadily gone up since. This despite the fact Oklahoma State's best running back Justice Hill will not play. Missouri and QB Drew Lock feasted on average to below average defenses all season. Subtract the four best defenses the Tigers faced, all from the SEC and Missouri averaged 44 PPG against everyone else. The Cowboys certainly fit in that group. Why we are going UNDER is because Mizzo can rush the passer and that is why they hold Okie State under 30 points, leading to a lower score.

Holiday Bowl:Northwestern (6-7 O/U) vs. Utah (7-6 O/U)Monday, Dec. 31, 7:00 p.m. ET (FS1)SDCCU Stadium - San Diego, CAFree NCAAF Pick: OverBest Line Offered: Intertops

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Consider the Holiday Bowl the Rose Bowl runner-up bowl, as these teams played for the right to reach the Granddaddy of them all and came up short. It is fairly amazing Northwestern had as much success as they did because they were 106th in scoring at 23.7 PPG. The Wildcats score differential was only +0.2 which does not fit an 8-5 team. After a 2-2 start, Utah's offense caught fire and averaged 35.1 PPG all the way to the Pac-12 championship, where Washington stifled the Utes for a second time. Regular starting QB Tyler Huntley has been upgraded to "probable", with his exact status in terms of how much he will play unknown. The total of 45.5 seems low and Utah is 19-10 OVER off two spread setbacks. Siding with the OVER.

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A little over 2 weeks before the @SDCCU #HolidayBowl kicks off. For all of you out of towners (@NUFBFamily and @Utah_Football) we want to be your #SanDiego tour guides. We will be posting some good places to visit, and feel free to message us if you need any suggestions! pic.twitter.com/TIVi650xY0

— SDCCU Holiday Bowl (@HolidayBowl) 17 de dezembro de 2018
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Taxslayer Bowl:N.C. State (5-6-1 O/U) vs. Texas A&M (6-6 O/U)Monday, Dec. 31, 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN)TIAA Bank Field - Jacksonville, FLFree NCAAF Pick: UnderBest Line Offered: YouWager

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N.C. State's offense is dependent upon quarterback Ryan Finley, with there offense ranked 6th in passing yards at almost 328 a game. The Wolfpack scored 35.6 PPG this season, however, that number was inflated facing a very weak nonconference slate (40 PPG). If you skip Texas A&M's opener versus Northwestern State and 7 OT's against LSU, in the 10 games in the middle, the Aggies permitted 23.7 PPG. With the total lowered to 56.5, Texas A&M has a distinct chance to hold the largely one-dimensional N.C. State offense down. Plus, there is a neutral field bowl system on totals from 56.5 to 63, relating to the Aggies that is 42-13 UNDER.

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