Friday Night College Bowl Games Filled To Brim With Totals

Wednesday, December 26, 2018 10:15 PM UTC

Wednesday, Dec. 26, 2018 10:15 PM UTC

Bowl action continues on Friday with another three contests. Five of the six teams playing had better than expected seasons and will look to close that way.

<h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" rel="nofollow" title="Live Game Odds"><strong>Music City Bowl: Auburn (5-7 O/U) vs. Purdue (6-5-1 O/U)</strong></a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Friday, Dec. 28, 1:30 p.m. ET (ESPN)</strong></h2><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN</strong></h2><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Free NCAAF Pick: Over</strong></h2><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Best Line Offered: <a href=";book=BOVADA" title="Top-Rated Sportsbook">Bovada</a></strong></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3690918, "sportsbooksIds":[999996,1096,93,999991,1275], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>With the total at 55 points, if you are making<a href="" target="_blank" title="Get the best numbers by using the SBR odds pages. "> college football picks </a>that sounds like it should be favoring Purdue. Auburn this season has scored just 28.2 PPG (71st) and allowed 19.6 (18th), which is far below what the oddsmakers have listed. With Purdue having more ways to score at 31.9 PPG (44th) and weaker on defense at 27.2 PPG (T-67th), one might be inclined to taking the points with the Boilermakers with this total.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;ICYMI: We are giving away a 2018 Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl Football signed by &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;@JeffBrohm&lt;/a&gt; &amp;amp; &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;@CoachGusMalzahn&lt;/a&gt; ! Just click this link ➡ &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt; and let us know you think will win this year's game! &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Music City Bowl (@MusicCityBowl) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;December 20, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><p>Yet, what are the oddsmakers really saying, do they believe the Tigers offense will have more than usual success against Purdue's defense? That could be the case. Quarterback Jarrett Stidham of Auburn did not have a banner year with only 13 TD's passes. The offensive line was poor in protection and Stidham has not shown to be very elusive in the pocket, sacked 23 times. But Purdue has been lit up on pass defense for 276.9 YPG, which was 124th this season. This should give Auburn chances to toss the ball down the field and be successful.</p><p>Boiler coach Jeff Brohm will have a unique game plan like he usually does and will use misdirection to have the Tigers speed to work against them and be out of position. Brohm's teams are 14-3 OVER after gaining 300 or more passing yards in three straight games and 13-2 OVER when the line is +3 to -3, with the average total score just over 71 points. Take the OVER versus the<a href="" target="_blank" title="Find the best odds from the best sportsbooks at SBR. "> college football odds.</a></p><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" rel="nofollow" title="Live Game Odds"><strong>Camping World Bowl: Syracuse (7-5 O/U) vs. West Virginia (7-4 O/U)</strong></a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Friday, Dec. 28, 5:15 p.m. ET (ESPN)</strong></h2><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Camping World Stadium, Orlando, FL</strong></h2><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Free NCAAF Pick: Under</strong></h2><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Best Line Offered: <a href=";book=BOVADA" rel="nofollow" title="Top-Rated Sportsbook">Bovada</a></strong></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3690882, "sportsbooksIds":[999996,169,1096,999991,19], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>The side moved and the total collapsed from 74 to 67 once West Virginia quarterback Will Grier announced his intention to get ready for the NFL Draft. That means Jack Allison will get the start for the Mountaineers and he's thrown all of 10 passes. It's a given West Virginia will not match their point total of 42.3 PPG without Grier and how many points the Mountaineers will tally. This will be decided by how Allison reacts to an aggressive pass rush that Syracuse has come with all season and if the 'Teers running can surpass their average of 162 YPG.</p><p>Syracuse is not likely to reach their level of 40.7 PPG either, but at least they will have all hands on deck, for an offense that averaged 206 rushing and 261 yards passing. Coach Dino Babers has completely changed the Orange fortunes and they were 17th in total offense this year and more physical in the trenches.</p><p>Having lost their quarterback and a chance to play for Big 12 title, hard to imagine West Virginia will be very ready to play. This will hurt the defense and also lower scoring production. The final score will be close to adjusted total, with the two squads falling just short and Syracuse is 8-1 UNDER in away games after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous outing.</p><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" rel="nofollow" title="Live Game Odds"><strong>Alamo Bowl: Iowa State (4-7-1 O/U) vs. Washington State (6-5 O/U)</strong></a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Friday, Dec. 28, 9:00 p.m. ET (ESPN)</strong></h2><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Alamo Dome, San Antonio, TX</strong></h2><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Free NCAAF Pick: Under</strong></h2><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Best Line Offered: <a href=";book=Bookmaker" rel="nofollow" title="Top-Rated Sportsbook">Bookmaker</a></strong></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3690884, "sportsbooksIds":[93,1275,169,19,1602], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>Two quality defensive teams will be on display in San Antonio. Iowa State only gave up 22.5 PPG versus offenses that averaged 31 on the season. That is an impressive number going up against offensive-minded teams like those in the Big 12. The 23.1 PPG that Washington State conceded was also noteworthy because it matches the same number they had given up in 2006, a dozen years ago.</p><p>The coach Mike Leach-led Washington State averages 38.3 PPG, but the Cougars are not a quick strike team, possessing the ball for almost 33 minutes a contest. Iowa State's tough defense has seen plenty of excellent passing offenses in their conference and all coach Matt Campbell has to do is have his team follow the Washington Huskies blueprint of rushing four from different angles and dropping seven into coverage, making QB Gardner Minshew find an open receiver.</p><p>Because the Cyclones do not possess a potent running (114th), Washington State's defense should hold up and limit Iowa State's scoring chances. Go UNDER 57 and look for the Cyclones to better 12-3 UNDER mark after two straight games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse.</p>
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