College Football Picks: Cincinnati vs Memphis

Jeff Grant

Monday, October 28, 2013 12:52 PM GMT

Monday, Oct. 28, 2013 12:52 PM GMT

The Memphis Tigers’ five losses have come by an average of seven points, as they prepare to host the Cincinnati Bearcats Wednesday night. Check out where we've decided to place our cash.

Let’s take a closer look at the college football odds for this American Athletic Conference matchup at Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 8 p.m. ET on ESPN2.

Putting things together

Cincinnati is 5-2 SU and 3-4 ATS in Tommy Tuberville’s first year on campus, as it was last seen picking up a 41-16 victory over the Connecticut Huskies as 14.5-point home favorites on Oct. 19, while winning the statistical battle for the sixth time in seven contests this season.

The Bearcats rank eighth nationally in limiting opponents to just 286.9 yards per game, but they’ve gone 0-3 ATS as road favorites in 2013.

Close calls

Memphis is 1-5 SU and 3-3 ATS heading into its seventh game of the season, with three of its losses coming bye one score or less, including a 34-29 setback to the SMU Mustangs as 3.5-point home favorites on Oct. 19.

The Tigers have an 18-12 SU all-time record in this series, including a 12-4 mark at home, but they’ve failed to cover the number in the last four meetings.

Moving the football

College football handicappers should anticipate the Bearcats moving the football in this affair, as they’ve racked up 340-plus yards of offense in 20 consecutive games.

Cincinnati quarterback Brendon Kay has completed 60 of 79 passes for 717 yards and nine touchdowns in his last 10 quarters of action.

Non-Saturday blues

The Tigers will try to snap a six-game losing streak in non-Saturday games, but they’ve gone 3-4 SU and 6-1 ATS in Weeks 10 through 13 the last two-plus seasons.

Memphis will rely heavily on its defense to try and pull off a slight upset as a home underdog in this affair, as the unit ranks 13th in the country in allowing 331 yards per game.

[gameodds]6/239097/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Tigers for their College Football picks due to their 14-4 ATS mark in their last 18 home games versus a team with a winning road record.

NCAAF Pick:  Memphis Tigers +3

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