College Football Picks: Capper Calling Lock! Bet Louisville +6 Over Clemson

Joe Gavazzi

Thursday, September 17, 2015 2:15 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 17, 2015 2:15 PM UTC

Clemson travels to Louisville & the ball goes in the air at Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium. The teams meet in the first conference game of the year in ACC play. Let's review the odds & our free pick.

Clemson (-6) vs. Louisville 7:30 ET ESPN
Clemson travels to Louisville for this Thursday night ESPN special.  The ball goes in the air at 7:30 ET at Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium. Louisville joined the ACC (from the Big East and AAC in 2014). They traveled to Clemson in October with a 5-1 SU record. The Tigers quickly put an end to their momentum with a 23-17 victory in a defensive oriented affair that saw the 2 teams combine for less than 500 total yards. 

Tonight, the teams meet in week 3 of the 2015 season with this contest being the first conference game of the year in ACC play. The divergent starts of these teams make Clemson a TD favorite. The Tigers have begun 2-0 SU ATS with wins at home over Wofford and App. St. by combined scores of 90-20.  It was an indication that despite just 3 starters returning to the defensive side of the ball, the Tigers’ outstanding stop unit would once again be in fine form this year.  Last year, the Tiger defense allowed just 17 PPG, 261 YPG and 104/3.0 overland.  In last week’s 41-10 romp over App St., the Clemson defense held the Mountaineers scoreless in the first half.  They then put it on cruise control, as they prepared for this short week and travel to Kentucky.  They meet a Louisville team, who has had a dichotomous start to the year.  A comeback at Auburn fell short in Week 1, before they fell flat last week, losing to Houston 34-31 as a 12 point home favorite.  In that game, the Cougars outrushed the Cards 226-70, joined the 200 CLUB with a balanced 462 yards of offense and profited from a (+3) net TO margin.  In short, it was a solid victory.

The embarrassment of a 0-2 SU start, including a home loss on this field as 12 point favorite last week to Houston (34-31), will have the Cardinal ready to soar just 5 days later at Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium.  Louisville HC Petrino may be a jerk, but he is a prideful motivator when dealing with his CFB teams. Clemson’s home wipeouts of outmanned Wofford and App St. have masked the potential decline of only 3 returning defensive starters.  At an inflated price tag of more than a TD from where this line would have been opening week, look for Louisville to bounce, with revenge (23-17 but outgained Clemson 264-229), knowing that Petrino is a righteous home revenger with a record of 11-3 ATS in that role and a near 90% SU play/BBL.  Clearly, Louisville is my College Football Picks in this contest. The upset no surprise to this bureau!  Put the College Football Odds in our favor and join me in my Louisville wager tonight.

College Football Pick: Take Louisville +6

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