College Football Picks: BYU vs. Utah State

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, October 1, 2013 4:50 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 1, 2013 4:50 PM UTC

The BYU Cougars go on the road to face the Utah St. Aggies on Friday night with kickoff scheduled for 8:00 PM ET. Let's have a look at how the two teams match-up and the NCAAF betting odds.

CFB Preview 

According to our current college football betting odds Utah St. is a 6.5-point home favorite. This number opened at 5.5 and 59% of the money wagered thus far has gone on the home favorite Aggies. 

In-State Rivalry 

BYU has defeated Utah St. in 12 of the last 13 and 22 of the last 24 meetings. Despite the Cougars domination in the series the Aggies have covered the last 5 and 6 of the last 7. This is the first time in the history of this series that Utah St. has been installed as a favorite. Last season at Provo the Cougars won 6-3 but failed to cover with the sportsbooks as a 6.5-point favorite. 

Program on the Rise 

This is a Utah St. program that has risen from the ashes of college football. The Aggies are winners in 18 of their last 23 games. They’ve also appeared in bowl games in the last 2 seasons. Utah St. is 3-2 so far this season and with a bit of luck could easily be 5-0. Their only losses came on the road to USC 17-14 and to Utah 30-26. The Aggies enter Friday night’s contest winners of 8 straight at home. Last week the Aggies trounced San Jose St. on the road 40-12 while easily covering as a 10-0-point favorite for our college football picks

The Up and Down Cougars

It’s been somewhat of an uneven start to the season for BYU. They were victimized by a late turnover in their opening season loss at Virginia 19-16. They followed that up with a scintillating 40-21 upset win as a 7.0-point underdog over then nationally ranked Texas. Then they were upset at home as a 7.0-point favorite in a 20-13 loss versus Utah. Finally last week the Cougars put together a solid effort in a convincing 37-10 home win versus Middle Tennessee St. and covered as a large 23.0-point favorite. The question is what BYU team will show up on Friday night? 

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My Angle 

Any home favorite of 7.0 or less that’s coming off a conference straight up win, and they’ve won 14 or more of their last 22 games, versus an opponent playing in game 5 of the season or beyond, and they’re coming off a home favorite of 20.0 or more ATS win, and have won 18 or less of their last 22-games is 7-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 1995 season. The home favorite has won those 7-games by an average of 19.3 points per game.

Free Pick: Utah St. -6.5 over BYU 

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