College Football Picks: Buffalo & Ohio to go 'Over'

Ross Benjamin

Monday, November 3, 2014 3:00 PM GMT

SBR's Ross Benjamin has gone 24-9 (72.7%) with his free college football picks this season. Read his football betting preview in Wednesday’s game between Buffalo/Ohio to find out where he plans to place his money.

Mid Week MAC Tilt in Athens
The Ohio Bobcats will play host to the Buffalo Bulls on Wednesday at Peden Stadium in Athens with the opening kickoff slated for 8:00 PM ET. According to the college football betting odds at Pinnacle, Ohio is a 3.0 point favorite, and there was no posted total at the time of this writing. Buffalo defeated Ohio last season 30-3, and it marked just the 2nd time in the past 9-years that this matchup had gone under the total.

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Rough and Controversial Season
The Buffalo Bulls enter this MAC contest with a 2-5 overall record on the season. Following an upset loss as a 13.0 point favorite to Eastern Michigan on 10/11/2014, head coach Jeff Quinn was surprisingly fired. Quinn was in his 6th season at Buffalo, and ended his tenure with a 19-36 record. However, it was just last season that the Bulls finished 8-5, and played in a bowl game versus San Diego State. Two members of that team, Khalil Mack (Oakland Raiders), and Brandon Oliver (San Diego Chargers) are now starters in the NFL. In any event, the Bulls enter this contest on a 3-game losing streak. They last played on 10/25 and were a 20-14 loser at home to Central Michigan. This will be only the 3rd game in the last 25-days for Buffalo, and they’re 0-3 on the road to start the season.

 

No Excuses for the Bobcats
The Ohio Bobcats enter this game with a 4-5 record on the year. However, it must be noted that they opened the season versus two pretty good non-conference opponents in currently undefeated Marshall, and a solid Kentucky team. The Bobcats have gone 3-1 at home this season, and should have no excuses against an opponent which is arguably in disarray at the moment. Ohio has gone under the total in 7 of their first 9-games. Ohio has gone a dismal 6-15 ATS the last 3-seasons versus conference opponents.

 

Final Analysis
Neither of these defenses has performed well this season. Buffalo has allowed an average of 38.3 points, and 473.2 yards per games versus their 6 FBS opponents this season. Ohio has allowed 439-yards per game, and that includes an alarming 292 per contest through the air. My estimated college football total in this game is approximately 56.0. If the number is 59.5 or lower, I will strongly consider make one of my college football picks on going over the total in this game.

Free College Football Pick: Buffalo/Ohio to go Over the total

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