College Football Picks: Bowling Green vs. Miami OH

Jeff Grant

Monday, November 4, 2013 3:00 PM GMT

The Bowling Green Falcons have the best defense in the Mid-American Conference, which should present a lot of problems for the Miami OH RedHawks Tuesday night. Have we decided to look at the total or the money lines with our NCAAF picks in tomorrows matchup?

Let’s take a closer look at the college football odds for this midweek matchup at Yager Stadium, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET on ESPNU.

Getting back on track

Bowling Green has lost back-to-back games, including a 28-25 defeat to the Toledo Rockets as four-point home favorites on Oct. 26, while going UNDER the betting total for the seventh time in eight contests during the 2013 campaign.

The Falcons are 3-1 against the Redhawks under fifth-year head coach Dave Clawson—covering the number in each of those three victories.

Disastrous season

Miami is 0-8 SU and 2-6 ATS through eight games of the season, while it has lost its last 12 contests dating back to the middle of last year.  The RedHawks are currently being led by interim head coach Mike Bath after the firing of Don Treadwell on Oct. 6.

The RedHawks have one of the more youthful rosters in the country, entering the 2013 campaign with 12 seniors, 14 juniors, 23 sophomores and 51 freshmen.

One of the best stop units

College football handicappers may have an interest in laying this type of number Tuesday, as the Falcons lead the MAC in both scoring and total defense, which isn’t very surprising due to the return of nine starters from last year’s unit.

Bowling Green is also second in the country in red zone defense, while sitting behind just 10 teams in allowing 183.6 passing yards per game.

A potential turnaround

It’s pretty remarkable that Miami OH hasn’t broken into the win column this season, as it enters this matchup with a plus-five turnover margin, while being tied after 30 minutes of action in four of its eight contests.

In three games under Bath’s direction, the RedHawks are averaging 277.7 yards per game, which is much better than the 198.4 they gained through the first five affairs.

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Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Falcons for their college football picks, as the straight-up winner has covered the number in at least the last 10 meetings in this rivalry.

College Football Pick: Bowling Green Falcons -23.5