College Football Picks: Boise State's Momentum Will Lead to a Win & ATS Cover Against Hawaii

Joe Catalano

Thursday, October 1, 2015 6:26 PM GMT

Thursday, Oct. 1, 2015 6:26 PM GMT

Hawaii has already proven that they can't beat the best, being outscored a collective 66-0 by Ohio State and Wisconsin, but Hawaii (2-2) has fared well against unranked opponents and they'll get a chance to prove this against Boise State (3-1). See who we like as our college football pick.

Kickoff is set for 10:15 p.m. EST on Saturday, October 3rd at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho. According to 5Dimes, the Broncos are a heavy 24.5-point betting favorite and the total for the game is listed at 53.5. This is a no win situation for Boise State as they're facing a team that they should beat and don't have anything to gain unless they blow Hawaii out. What will we see here as we get ready to place our college football picks?

 

Tough Times at Hawaii
Head coach, Norm Chow, isn't getting any younger and the native Hawaiian has had tons of success as an offensive coordinator, but has had difficulties in his time as head coach at Hawaii head coach; try 10-41!.

This is an average offensive team at best, led by USC transfer, Max Wittek, and the Rainbow Warriors are still looking to score their first point on the road. Granted, their two opponents were top of the line, but it's obvious that they're not ready to deal with a team such as Boise State on the road unless the Broncos are having a subpar effort and Hawaii is at their best.

 

Max Wittek
There's usually a reason why a player transfers and I remember Wittek being a member of USC; he wasn't going to get the playing time that he seeked at a major university.

Now, in his senior season, he get's a chance to "run the ship" and he's average at best as his numbers indicate. He's thrown for under 50% pass completion with 730 yards 5 TD and 4 INT. The measuring stick was against the best team in the land in the Ohio State Buckeyes. Wittek was just 7 for 24 fotr 62 yards and 2 INT. He simply isn't a top level quarterback and I don't expect anything different from him in this game.

Wittek's has two major targets in senior Quinton Pedroza and junior Marcus Kemp. Kemp has had 2 games of 100 yards or more against the opposition who were outside of the top 25 while Pedroza is coming off of a monster 10 reception for 134 yards against Wisconsin. These are definitely two capable receivers but my concern is Wittek, who lacks accuracy, and this will be a huge game for Wittek to validate his collegiate career.

 

Major Momentum
I focus on Hawaii as Boise State comes into this game with major confidence and less questions. The Broncos have outscored their opponents 108-14 in their last two games as this is a team that can put up the points. They embarrassed Virginia 56-14 on the Cavs home field Virginia was a turnover machine, committing 4 interceptions and 2 being brought back to the house for 6.

Boise quarterback, Brett Rypien tore apart the Cavaliers defense with 321 yards passing and 3 TD's. While Rypien was able to distribute the football around fairly evenly, Thomas Sperbeck caught 5 passes for 121 yards and 2 TD's to lead the way for Boise State. I don't think that Hawaii's defense will have an answer for the offense and I can see Wittek getting into a shootout and forcing the issue.

A spread of 24.5 points on the college football odds board is a lot for Boise State to lay, but they'll have major momentum and have a lot to play for in this game (where rankings are concerned) and we might see a repeat performance of the Virginia game, without the defensive touchdowns.

College Football Pick: Boise State -24.5  (-106) at 5Dimes

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