College Football Picks: Betting Angle Favors UCF +19 Over Stanford

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, September 10, 2015 7:10 PM GMT

Thursday, Sep. 10, 2015 7:10 PM GMT

Our college football analyst provides a betting preview for Central Florida & Stanford. His detailed analysis concludes with an outstanding 95% ATS betting angle that supports one of these sides.

UCF Makes Rare West Coast Trip to Palo Alto
Stanford will host Central Florida in a non-conference clash on Saturday. The opening kickoff at Stanford Stadium in Palo Alto, California is slated for 10:30 PM ET. According to current (9/10) college football betting odds at major sports, the majority have Stanford as a 19.0 point favorite.

 

Both Teams off Stunning Upset Losses in Season Openers
Central Florida is coming off a very surprising 15-14 home loss as an 11.0 point favorite in their season opener last week against Florida International. Quite frankly it was a game they unequivocally didn’t deserved to win. FIU dominated in total yardage by outgaining UCF by a wide 391-295 margin. The Golden Knights were held to just a paltry 46 yards rushing and an abysmal 1.53 yards per attempt.

Stanford entered last Saturday’s opening game of the 2015 season nationally ranked and as a 10.0 point favorite at Northwestern. They were thoroughly outplayed by the Wildcats during a humbling 16-6 loss. The Cardinals managed just 240 yards of total offense and were a -2 turnover differential. The historically potent smash mouth Stanford power running game was held to an embarrassing 85 yards.

 

Time Change Swap this Week for Cardinal
One of the many excuses I heard made for Stanford’s lethargic and uninspiring performance last week had to do with the time zone difference. The opening 12:00 PM ET kickoff translated to a 9:00 AM PT start, and quite honestly, Stanford looked like they were sleep walking throughout the contest. Well they should have no excuses playing at home this week with a scheduled 7:30 PM PT kickoff, while the Golden Knights biological clock will say 10:30 ET. However, in this day and age of modern college football where players are pampered by just about every precautionary measure, I’m of the opinion it makes little if any difference.

 

College Football Point Spread Betting Angle
Since the start of the 1982 season, any away underdog (UCF) of 4.0 to 27.0, coming off a home favorite straight up loss by 24 points or less, versus an opponent (Stanford) coming off an away favorite straight up loss in which they scored 23 points or less, and the home favorite (Stanford) has won 15 games or less during its last 22 contests, resulted in the away underdog going 19-1 (95%) against the spread. The away underdog also won 8 (40%) of those games outright with one also ending in a tie.

College Football Pick: Play on Central Florida +19.0 (-105) at Heritage

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