College Football Picks: Bet Washington -4.5 at Home vs. Arizona

Steven Suarez

Friday, October 30, 2015 10:45 PM GMT

Friday, Oct. 30, 2015 10:45 PM GMT

Both teams are coming off losses last weekend and will be eager to make up for it here on Saturday night. Which Pac-12 team are we siding with as we finalize our college football picks?

Odds Overview
Depending on where you look, the Huskies are favored by either four and a half or five points, while the total is trading at 58 points on the college football odds board.

Coming in, Arizona has gone 5-3 SU and 4-4 ATS, with Washington at 3-4 SU but 4-3 against the spread. Games involving the Wildcats have gone OVER at a staggering clip, with that prop hitting in seven of their first eight games. It's been the opposite for Washington though, who have seen six of their seven games end up UNDER the posted total. What will we see this weekend?

 

Washington Huskies
It's been an up-and-down season for the Huskies so far. They opened with a loss to then-ranked Boise State, only to rebound by winning two in a row in dominant fashion. Washington has since gone on to lose three of four, however, as they've fallen to California, Oregon and then Stanford last week.

A strong defense has carried the Huskies this season, as they're currently ranked 22nd in scoring defense, having allowed 18.9 points per game. That's made up for an offense that's been mediocre at best; Washington is scoring just 24.0 points (94th in the nation) on average through their first seven games.

Jake Browning has been hit or miss, throwing only six total touchdowns against five interceptions, and he's been spreading the ball around to a number of different receivers. Washington is likely going to keep leaning on running back Myles Gaskin, who's already racked up 97 carries for 607 yards and six touchdown runs. Expect a healthy dosage of Gaskin against Arizona this weekend.

 

Arizona Wildcats
The Wildcats lost 45-42 at home to Washington State in a barnburner last week, and thus dropped their third game of the season. Many were expecting big things out of Arizona this season, but it just hasn't come to fruition yet, and now the program has a mountain to climb in their highly competitive conference.

Scoring points hasn't been the problem for the Wildcats. They're averaging 41 points per game, which puts them in the top 10 nationally in that department. It's defensively where Arizona has been a mess; they're surrendering 32.4 points per game, the 98th-best mark in college football this season.

There's also the important quarterback situation going on in Tuscon, as Anu Solomon and Jerrard Randall are competing to be the consistent starter game in and game out. Solomon has been starting but has given way to the more dynamic Randall in each of the last two games, and a starter has yet to be named for Saturday's game. That's definitely a situation worth checking out as we get closer to kickoff. 

 

Betting Analysis
Though we were originally higher on the Wildcats earlier on this season, it's hard to discount their struggles. They've really disappointed in big spots so far, and that's made us a lot less confident in the prospects of backing them.

On the other side, you've got a Washington team that is battling hard each and every week. They may have lost two in a row, but both losses came against strong programs, and the difficult schedule they've already faced should make them more prepared for the challenge that Arizona will present.

Of course, the quarterback controversy in Arizona doesn't help their cause, another reason we're cautious. So, with our college football picks, we'll be taking on some chalk and recommending that you take Washington cover the spread at home on Saturday night.

College Football Pick: Washington Huskies -4.5 at 5Dimes

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