College Football Picks: Bet Southern Miss to Cover +6 at LA Tech

Joe Gavazzi

Tuesday, November 24, 2015 6:26 PM GMT

Tuesday, Nov. 24, 2015 6:26 PM GMT

We preview Saturday's game between the Southern Miss Golden Eagles and the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and explain why we like Southern Miss +6 as our Hidden Gem of the Week College Football Pick. 

S. Mississippi vs. LA Tech (-6) Noon ET
On Saturday, the S. Mississippi Golden Eagles travel to Ruston, LA, where they will face the LA Tech Bulldogs at Joe Aillet Stadium.  The game is scheduled for a Noon ET kickoff.  This contest will decide the CUSA West divisional winner, who will play in the Championship Game next weekend.  Last year when these teams met, LA Tech recorded a (31-20) victory as 7 point road favorite.  But, it was a hard fought game with S. Mississippi actually winning the yardage battle 379-348.  That game came in the turnaround year for LA Tech.  This year, it has been S. Mississippi who has emerged as the pointspread darling of the nation.  We have been there on many weekends to back this emerging team, including last Saturday, when they used a 2nd half rally to cover for us against ODU (56-31) for our 6% CFB Crusher of the Year.  This lifted the 4-year record for 6% Plays to 56-11 ATS. 

 

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
This is the 3rd year of the Skip Holtz regime in Ruston.  He took over for Sonny Dykes (left for California) at the end of the 2012 season.  That 2012 team of Bulldogs averaged an amazing 51/578 on offense.  But, they allowed a disastrous 38/526 on defense.  Holtz has improved the defensive fortunes of the Bulldogs each season.  But, the offense took a mighty hit with just 3 RS in 2013.  That unit dropped from 51 to 19 PPG and was the main reason why LA Tech went 4-8 SU, 4-7 ATS in the 2013 campaign.  Last year was the Bulldogs’ turnaround season.  In the 2nd year under Holtz, the offense rebounded, the defense again improved and they went 9-5 SU, including a money-making 11-2 ATS.  This season, the Bulldogs enter on a 4-game winning streak for an 8-3 SU record.  Admittedly, those have been against the weak links of the league as, in the last 3 weeks, they beaten lowly Rice, N. Texas and UTEP.  More importantly, the line has caught up to them, as they are just 6-5 ATS for the season.  Today, they face a S. Mississippi team, who is the LA Tech Bulldogs of 2015.

 

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles
The S. Mississippi program has a strong history of excellence.  This millennium, the Golden Eagles extended their number of consecutive winning seasons to over 20, under the leadership of Jeff Bauer and Larry Fedora.  But, when Fedora departed Hattiesburg for Chapel Hill, he left the program in the hands of Ellis Johnson, a respected DC with no HC experience.  The Eagles fell off the map, going from 12-2 SU in 2011 to 0-12 SU in 2012.  Now, in the 3rd year under HC Todd Monken, the resurgence has been complete.  The previous 3-year run saw S. Mississippi go 4-32 SU.  This year, however, was the breakout season.  Entering today, the Eagles have soared to a mark of 8-3 SU, 9-1 ATS, covering by 131 points.  This includes 5 consecutive victories, including last week’s (56-31) destruction of ODU, when they both ran and passed for over 300 yards.  Led by QB Mullens, this Eagles’ team is now on the cusp of attaining 200 CLUB status.  They have an attack that averages 40 PPG, 533 YPG and 7.1 YP play.  Most impressive is a vastly improved defense, which is likewise on the verge of Super D status, allowing just 22 PPG, 346 YPG and 5.0 YP play.  Must continue to ride this red-hot team, particularly in the role of underdog, where their incredible momentum could easily carry them to this division title.

I invite you to put the college football odds in your favor and join me with my college football pick on S. Mississippi (+6) as your Hidden Gem of the Week.

College Football Picks: Southern Mississippi +6 at 5Dimes 

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