College Football Picks: Bet Oregon St./Michigan 'Under' 48.5

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, September 9, 2015 9:18 PM GMT

Wednesday, Sep. 9, 2015 9:18 PM GMT

Will the Wolverines bounce back from a season opening loss at Utah? Can the Beavers pull off an upset as a double digit odds underdog? Read this betting preview article for those answers and more.

Rare Meeting on Saturday Between Beavers and Wolverines
Michigan will play in its home opener on Saturday against Oregon State. The opening kickoff at “The Big House” in Ann Arbor is slated for 12:00 PM ET. These schools haven’t faced each other on the gridiron since 1986. According to current (9/8) college football betting odds Michigan is anywhere from a 14.5 to 15.5 point favorite.

 

Opening Game Performances
Oregon opened their season last week with a 26-7 win over Weber State. Despite a decisive 19 point win, the Beavers failed to cover as a 28.0 point home favorite. It must be noted that Weber State plays at the FCS level in football, and they’re coming off a miserable 2-10 season in 2014. In any event, Oregon State was clearly the better team in this matchup, and outgained Weber State by 213 total yards. The offense was led by quarterback Seth Collins who accounted for 248 total yards and 3 touchdowns. Collins was especially effective with his legs, rushing for 152 yards, and averaged a superb 8.9 yards per attempt.

The Jim Harbaugh era didn’t get off to the start that Wolverines fans had expected or hoped for. Michigan was a 24-17 loser at nationally ranked Utah last Friday, and failed to cover as a 5.0 point underdog. Starting senior quarterback Jake Ruddock also made his debut in a Wolverines uniform. The graduate transfer from Iowa was 27 of 43 passing for 279 yards, and had 2 touchdown tosses. However, his 3 interceptions really hurt Michigan’s chances of coming out on top. The last of those picks was returned 55 yards for a touchdown, and allowed Utah to hold a somewhat commanding 24-10 fourth quarter lead. The Wolverines did close the gap to 24-17 with 33 second to go, but failed to recover the ensuing onside kick ending any hopes of a miraculous comeback.

 

College Football Totals Betting Angle
Oregon State held Weber State to just 178 yards of total offense during their season opening win last week.

At the time of this writing, TheGreek.com has a posted total of 48.5 in this contest, and the rest of the major sportsbooks are at 48.0.

Oregon State and Michigan each have exactly 8 returning starters on offense this season.

Any team (Oregon State) with a total of 42.5 to 49.0, coming off a game in which they held their opponent (Weber State) to 225 yards or less of total offense, and both teams possess 8 or more returning starters on offense, resulted in those games going 40-14 (74.1%) under the total since 1992.

I like this game to play below the posted number for one of my college football picks on Saturday.

College Football Pick: Play on Oregon State and Michigan Under 48.5 at The Greek.

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