Best College Football Teams to Pick in November in the Last 10 Years

Jay Pryce

Tuesday, October 30, 2018 7:13 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 30, 2018 7:13 PM UTC

Over the last decade, Oklahoma and Northwestern have dominated betting college football picks against the spread in November, but they are not the best. Read more to see which teams have profited most versus the number late in this critical month. 

Below are the top betting teams ATS in the month of November since 2008. Programs must have played at least 34 games offered on the college football oddsboard to qualify.

10. Western Kentucky (21-14-2 ATS, 60.0 percent)

The Hilltoppers have shuffled through five different coaches through this span, including Willie Taggart, Bobbie Petrino, and Jeff Brohm. Regardless of who is donning the lead head set, the program tends to be a profitable bet late in the season, particularly against opponents coming off a game as the betting favorite. Western Kentucky is 12-4 ATS in this situation, which is the case at Middle Tennessee in Week 10. The Blue Raiders are coming off a 51-17 rout of Old Dominion as 4.5-point chalk.

9. Boston College (23-15-1 ATS, 60.5 percent)

Frank Spaziani (2009-12) and Steve Addazio (2013-present) are the two men in charge of the Eagles through most of this period, each emphasizing a strong defense as the squad’s core. Since 2008, Boston College is covering 70.4 percent of spreads (19-8) in November when squaring off against an opponent coming off a game in which it scored 30 points or fewer. Virginia Tech, the Eagles’ next foe, fell 49-28 to Georgia Tech in Week 9.

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GIMME THAT! #TakeawayTuesday#WeAreBC🦅 (@BCFootball, @Hamp_hc4) pic.twitter.com/6p3qRJXZmE

— ACC Digital Network (@theACCDN) October 30, 2018
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8. San Diego State (24-15-1 ATS, 61.5 percent)

Be cautious fading San Diego State late in the campaign. The legendary Rocky Long has led the Aztecs for the last six years, and has never suffered a losing ATS record in the month of November. In fact, the program has only one under .500 ATS month of November (2009) since 2002.

7. Central Michigan (21-13 ATS, 61.8 percent)

No matter the program’s leadership, look for Central Michigan to rack up points on the road in MAC play during November. The Chippewas average 32.7 points per game, going 12-5 ATS in this span. They’ve surpassed their team total in all but three contest. They have Eastern Michigan and Toledo in this spot in 2018.

6. Nevada (22-13-2 ATS, 62.9 percent)

The Wolf Pack is 17-2 SU and 13-5-1 ATS as the betting favorite in November since 2008, posting 41.3 points per game.

5. Bowling Green (22-13-1 ATS, 63.2 percent)

Since 2008, Bowling Green regularly exceeds expectations away from Doyt Perry Stadium in November, going 15-4 ATS overall. The margins are even more impressive than the record, topping the number (-1.0) by 11.6 points per game. Current head coach Mike Jinks is just 2-2 ATS under these conditions.

4. Northwestern (24-14-1 ATS, 63.2 percent)

Seasoned bettors know when the Wildcats catch points under head coach Pat Fitzgerald, it’s nearly an automatic bet, particularly late in the season. Since 2008, he is 14-8-1 ATS as the underdog in November. The mark moves to 18-10-1 ATS when one factors in December and the bowl season.

3. Oklahoma (23-13-1 ATS, 63.9 percent)

To hang with Oklahoma over the last few decades, a team needs a lot of offense. Those averaging fewer than 39.75 points per game for the year are 6-17-1 ATS against the Sooners in November since 2008. Oklahoma State (Week 11) and Kansas (Week 12) need to improve their production, or they’re likely fade material.

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Prepping for prime time.#ChampionshipNovember #OUDNA pic.twitter.com/VtWtpnNB5Z

— Oklahoma Football (@OU_Football) October 29, 2018
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2. Arkansas (26-14 ATS, 65.0 percent)

Arkansas has covered the spread in four of its last five games since a disastrous start to 2018. Recent history suggests it could continue to reward backers in November, especially when defending Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. The Hogs are 14-5 ATS in this situation since 2008

1. Memphis (24-12-1 ATS, 66.7 percent)

The high-flying Tigers are the top betting team in November during the last decade. They’ve punished porous defenses in the market, going 15-2 ATS when up against a unit allowing greater than 30.8 points per game. East Carolina (Week 10) and SMU (Week 12) backers need to tread carefully.

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