College Football Picks: Best Playoff Semifinal Player Props

Matthew Jordan

Wednesday, December 30, 2015 8:22 PM GMT

Wednesday, Dec. 30, 2015 8:22 PM GMT

Will the second College Football Playoff live up to the first? The Big Ten, SEC and ACC all have teams back this year. Here are some player prop recommendations for the two semifinal games.

Baker Mayfield 'Over/Under' 22.5 Completions, 287.5 Yards, 2.5 TD Passes, 34.5 Rushing Yards

 

Will Mayfield Throw An Interception?
Yes is -150 on  college football odds for Mayfield to throw a pick and no +110. Mayfield, a former walk-on at Texas Tech who sat out last season at Oklahoma after transferring, probably deserved to be a Heisman finalist but finished fourth in the voting. He was the unanimous Big 12 Offensive Player of the Year. Mayfield, a second-team All-American, has thrown for 3,389 yards with a league-high 35 touchdowns and only five interceptions. He has completed 68.6 percent of his passes and also run for 420 yards and seven touchdowns. In one respect, OU had the nation's best offense. For the season, Oklahoma averaged 3.18 points per drive, which did top the country. The Sooners are averaging 52 points per game in a seven-game winning streak. They ranked 55th in the FBS last season with an average of 25.9 points per game. They rank third this season at 45.8 per game. So, yeah, a quarterback makes a big difference. Now, the Big 12 isn't exactly known for great defenses these days. Clemson will easily be the best unit Mayfield has seen. In fact, Tennessee is the only defense Mayfield has faced that even ranked in the Top 60 in total defense, passing yards allowed and pass efficiency. Clemson is in the Top 7, has one of the nation's top cornerbacks in Mackensie Alexander and a stellar pass rusher in end Shaq Lawson, our college football pick is......

College Football Picks: 'Under' all but rushing yards. He will throw an interception.

 

Deshaun Watson O/U 24.5 Completions, 299.5 Passing Yards, 2.5 TD Passes, 87.5 Rushing Yards

 

Will Watson Throw A Pick? Will He Score A Rushing TD?
That Watson will thrown an interception is -185 and no +140. That he scores on the ground is -225 and no +165. Watson, a sophomore, was third in the Heisman Trophy voting and the ACC Offensive Player of the Year. He has accumulated 3,512 yards and 30 passing touchdowns through the air, also 11 interceptions, and with another 887 yards (5.4 yards per carry) and 11 rushing touchdowns on the ground. Overall, Watson is responsible for 66 percent of Clemson’s total offensive yards (passing and rushing combined). The Oklahoma defense, led by linebacker Eric Striker, is no slouch. It ranks in the Top 10 among all FBS teams in both sacks (38) and interceptions (19). If there's one quarterback like Watson whom the Sooners would have faced it's TCU's Trevone Boykin. Alas, he missed the OU game with an ankle injury. To help prepare for Watson, the Sooners have had backup Trevor Knight, who defeated Alabama in the Sugar Bowl two years ago with an excellent dual-threat performance, mimicking Watson in practice while on the scout team.

College Football Pick: 'Over' completions and pass yards, 'under' rushing yards and pass TDs. He will throw a pick and score a rushing TD.

 

Derrick Henry O/U 167.5 Rushing Yards, 1.5 Total TDs
I think we can put to bed the old "Heisman curse" of how winners of college football's top award would fare in bowl games. Last year's winner, Marcus Mariota, played really well in the Rose Bowl semifinal win over Florida State and pretty well in the national title loss to Ohio State. The year before Jameis Winston threw the game-winning touchdown pass in the final seconds of the fourth quarter to beat Auburn in the final BCS Championship Game. Alabama's Henry was the first running back to win the Heisman since the Tide's Mark Ingram in 2009. Henry carried 339 times for 1,986 yards and 23 touchdowns for the SEC champions. Henry’s rushing total set an SEC record, breaking a mark set by former Georgia running back (and Heisman winner) Herschel Walker (1,891 yards) in 1981 -- Henry did it on 54 fewer carries. He goes against a Michigan State defense that ranks ninth nationally against the rush, giving up just 3.55 yards per carry and 113 yards per game. That defense came on late. In the upset of Ohio State, Sparty held Ezekiel Elliott to just 33 yards on 12 carries. Against Iowa in the Big Ten title game, the Spartans yielded  only 52 yards on 24 carries. That was the sixth time MSU allowed fewer than 100 yards rushing on the season.

College Football Pick: 'Under' yards and 'over' touchdowns at Bet365

comment here