After a long season of college football, it all comes down to this the final bowl game of the season. The NCAAF Odds opened up with the Seminoles as -9 ½ favorites, however the spread has grown to -10 ½, and the total has gone from 64, to 68 points. Instead of wagering on this lofty NCAAF Odds, let’s take a look at some of your many prop-betting options tonight. I have found two from Bovada that have really peaked my intrigue.
Auburn’s stud junior, Tre Mason has a rushing yards total of 119 ½ tonight, (I accidently labeled it 109 ½ in the video) and with how he has performed over the last five to seven weeks, I don’t know how you don’t like the over here. Mason has been on fire over the last five weeks of the season, including a 300+ yard performance against Mizzou in the BCS Title Game.
The Seminoles’ rushing defense is not a joke, and neither is their offense, so if Auburn falls behind early, this wager is dead. However Auburn is capable of staying with Jameis Winston and the high-powered Florida State offense. Mason will be the key, and college football’s 9th leading rusher should have an outstanding performance behind the Auburn offensive line.
Mason and the Tigers have had a much tougher schedule than the Seminoles this season, and with how Mason has performed against tough SEC defenses, I see the over having value for our NCAAF picks.
My Pick: Tre Mason OVER 119 ½ rushing yards (-120)
Total Points Scored
While the game total has crept up to 68, the NCAAF Odds from Bovada in their prop bets have 71+ points tonight at even money. Both of these offenses are capable of scoring 35 or 40 points tonight on one another, and at only three points higher than the game total, I think +100 for an over bet is great value.
Florida State has the #1 offense in college football this season in points scored, however as I mentioned above, it’s not like their schedule was great. The Tigers on the other hand played several very tough games in the SEC, and have proven themselves time and again this season.
Florida State played two teams the entire season that finished the year inside the Top 25, while Auburn played five teams that finished the season inside the Top 25. While they went 4-1 SU against them, losing only to LSU, the Auburn offense has beaten some very good defenses already this season.
Winston will likely be a shoe in for 300 yards in this game, while the Auburn offense behind Mason should be ramped up as well. I expect Winston and Kelvin Benjamin to hook up a lot in this matchup when Auburn plays man to man, and between two teams that averaged a combined 74 points per game this season, I see over 71 points being a nice value in the alternative lines.
My Pick: Over 71 points (+100)