College Football Picks: Baylor Will Easily Cover ATS Against Iowa State

David Lawrence

Tuesday, October 20, 2015 9:13 PM GMT

Tuesday, Oct. 20, 2015 9:13 PM GMT

The Cyclones really did not play all that poorly this past weekend, but they still suffered a decisive loss. The Bears are hammering everyone they play, check our free pick inside. 

Momentum
The Iowa State Cyclones did not play that poorly on Saturday against the TCU Horned Frogs. Iowa State played TCU closely for a little over a half, but ran out of steam late in the third quarter and early in the fourth. The Cyclones just did not have the athleticism or speed on defense to hang with the Horned Frogs’ offense, especially Heisman Trophy candidate Trevone Boykin, who was nearly perfect in that game. The Cyclones’ main concern this week needs to be to value all the good things they did in the first two and a half quarters against TCU and try to play three and a half or four quarters against Baylor. The other thing Iowa State needs to concentrate on is to mentally stay in the fight, not losing belief or confidence when a talented offense scores 14 points in half a quarter. TCU’s offense is great, and so is Baylor’s. The Cyclones just need to try to establish their offense as much as possible and hope they can make a few key third-down stops. If they can be close at halftime, who knows what they can achieve?

The Baylor Bears have the best offense in college football, and there’s little debate about that. This team just keeps scoring over 60 points with fearsome regularity. Quarterback Seth Russell has taken this offense from Bryce Petty and has made it better than it was last year under Petty’s leadership. Russell is unflinchingly accurate, getting the ball to his receivers as though it is second nature to do so. Baylor just can’t be disrupted right now. The Bears have overwhelmingly fast receivers such as Corey Coleman, who is racking up touchdown catches like there’s no tomorrow. The offensive line is a wall, providing all the blocking and pass protection this team needs. Last week’s 62-point outburst against West Virginia is normal, not exceptional, for Baylor.

 

Line Moves
Baylor started as a 36-point favorite, but the college football odds have moved up to 37 points. The betting public sees how much Baylor is dominating teams, and with Iowa State having to play Baylor a week after playing TCU, the expectation is that the Cyclones will cave in and fail to keep pace.

 

Notable Injuries
There’s only one new injury for Iowa State: Defensive end Gabe Luna is questionable with an ankle injury. One player left the team in late August and the other is out indefinitely with a knee injury suffered on September 1.

Baylor has defensive back J.W. Ketchum out indefinitely due to a suspension. Defensive tackle Byron Bonds is questionable for this game with a hand injury. Defensive lineman Andrew Billings is day to day with a left ankle injury. Tight end Tre’Von Armstead left the team.  

 

Handicapping The Game
The Bears are a frighteningly powerful machine. Iowa State will not slow them down to any extent. Take Baylor with your college football picks.

College Football Pick: Baylor -37 at Bovada

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