College Football Picks: Baylor vs. TCU

Jeff Grant

Friday, November 29, 2013 2:45 PM GMT

Friday, Nov. 29, 2013 2:45 PM GMT

The Baylor Bears suffered their first loss of the season last time out, but they’ll likely bounce back in a big way against the TCU Horned Frogs Saturday.

Let’s take a closer at the college football odds lines for this Big 12 Conference matchup at Amon G. Carter Stadium, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN2.

Take a look at our SBR's College Football Picks for Week 14 Betting Odds Report

Bubble burst?

Baylor dropped its first game of the 2013 campaign in Week 13, as it suffered a 49-17 setback to the Oklahoma State Cowboys as 7.5-point road favorites, while going UNDER the betting total of 79. 

The Bears are still 13-2 SU in the months of November and December since 2011, while they’ve covered the number in 19 of their last 27 games versus teams with a losing record. 

No bowling 

TCU is 4-7 SU and 3-8 ATS through 11 games, as the program gets prepared to play its final game of the season due to not gaining enough wins to become bowl eligible. 

The Horned Frogs own an eight-game winning streak in the regular season off a bye week, while head coach Gary Patterson has compiled a 4-1 record in previous meetings with Bears front man Art Briles over the course of their careers. 

Scoring points 

College football handicappers need to realize that the Bears still have plenty to play for, as their 56.8 points per game is still ahead of Army’s NCAA record of 56.0 in 1944.

Baylor could also become the FBS’ first-ever team to average 300 passing yards and 300 rushing yards per game.

Key statistics 

The Horned Frogs are tied with the Bears for the Big 12 lead with 29 sacks, while their 18 interceptions are one behind the Cowboys in that particular category. 

TCU is the only team in the nation to rank in the top five in picks and tackles for loss, while sitting in the top 10 in turnovers gained.

[gameodds]6/250755/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Bears with their College Football picks, as the Horned Frogs are 0-8 ATS in their last eight home games versus a team with a winning road record. 

College Football Pick:  Baylor Bears -12.5

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