College Football Picks: 'Bama Wants Another Win Over Mississippi St

David Lawrence

Tuesday, November 10, 2015 4:55 PM GMT

Tuesday, Nov. 10, 2015 4:55 PM GMT

The Alabama Crimson Tide and the Mississippi State Bulldogs play the biggest game in the SEC this weekend. Can the Bulldogs do the unthinkable and smash the college football odds?

Momentum
The Crimson Tide played the best game of any team not named Oklahoma State this past weekend, throttling LSU by two touchdowns in a game which wasn’t even that close. The Tide held star LSU running back Leonard Fournette to just 31 yards on 19 carries. Alabama’s defensive line was simply sensational against the LSU offensive line. Alabama’s offensive line was just as good, enabling running back Derrick Henry to have a field day and move to the forefront of the Heisman race in that SEC showdown. Alabama has certainly fixed the problems it faced earlier in the season, and it has also been able to continue to play well on defense against quarterbacks, who have either regressed from the previous year or have had off days during SEC play. Alabama looks like the team which has been the class of the SEC and one of the prime teams in the nation over the past several years. Nick Saban is getting his players to round into form at just the right time, which is what usually happens during a college football season.

Mississippi State did not look great, but it was more than good enough to pull away from Missouri in the second half of a Thursday night win on the road. Dak Prescott does not have the talent which surrounded him a season ago. His running backs and receivers are not as dangerous, but he is still capable of doing great things, and even though he wasn’t at his best, he still separated himself from Missouri’s defense. If Prescott can play his best game here, MSU has a real chance.

 

Line Moves
Alabama started as a seven-point favorite and the college football odds have moved up to eight points. Bettors are not convinced that Alabama is peaking at the right time. They trust Nick Saban, and really, there’s no reason not to. He’s as good as Urban Meyer in college football coaching. Only Meyer can perhaps claim to be better than Saban right now. Bettors know a reliable coach and team when they see one.

 

Notable Injuries
Alabama has backup placekicker Gunnar Raborn listed as being suspended. Wide receiver Robert Foster is out for the season with a rotator cuff injury.

Mississippi State defensive back Will Redmond is out for the season with an ACL injury. Defensive back Kendrick Market is out for the season with a leg injury. Linebacker Dezmond Harris is out for the season with a knee injury.

 

Handicapping The Game
Alabama is trying to retain its spot atop the SEC West and move one step closer to the conference title and the College Football Playoff. Mississippi State is trying to play spoiler and get the kind of victory which would make its season. Alabama is playing for the highest of stakes, while Mississippi State is playing for the right to be able to call its season a success, relative to expectations and other circumstances.

We've seen this movie before and we know how it ends. The Alabama juggernaut seems to be getting into high gear. Would you really want to take Mississippi State with your college football picks here? You shouldn’t.

Free College Football Pick: Alabama -8 at BetOnline

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