College Football Picks: Back Oklahoma to Cover ATS vs. Kansas Despite Large Spread

Willie Bee

Tuesday, October 27, 2015 7:38 PM GMT

Tuesday, Oct. 27, 2015 7:38 PM GMT

The biggest favorite on the Saturday college football betting board is Oklahoma, as the Sooners trek north to take on the winless Kansas Jayhawks.

There are two things you can count on Saturday. One is that campuses -- and their football stadiums -- will be filled with students in crazy costumes to celebrate Halloween, Walking Dead zombies likely a popular look.

The second guarantee is the Oklahoma Sooners are going to beat the Kansas Jayhawks, their 3:30 PM (ET) in Lawrence being carried by FOX Sports 1. The only question remaining is will the Sooners cover the biggest spread on Saturday's college football betting card?  Opening college football odds at BetOnline had Oklahoma laying 39 while most other sportsbooks came out at -38.  The number has since skipped up to 39-39½ with the total sitting at 64 after beginning at 66.

It's a series that began when Teddy Roosevelt was in the White House and the Boston Americans were celebrating an 8-game win over the Pittsburgh Pirates in the first World Series. The 106th meeting between the Sooners and Jayhawks finds OU sporting a 10-game win streak and huge 72-27-6 advantage overall.

Not only have the Sooners won 10 straight, they've also covered six of the last nine encounters as favorites, six of the spreads at least 19½ points. Oklahoma had more than enough to beat a -26 line a year ago at home with a 44-7 victory. All the Sooners needed to do was hand the ball off to Samaje Perine who rushed for a record 427 yards on 34 carries, scoring five times with the shortest touchdown jaunt being 27 yards. The final fell short of a 55 point total, leaving 'under' bettors happy for the third time in five meetings.

 

Can Oklahoma Climb Back Into National Title Hunt?
The loss to Texas three weeks ago hurt Oklahoma (6-1 straight up, 5-2 against the spread) at least temporarily as far as the national championship picture goes, but it certainly served to wake the Sooners up and they're still very much in the Big 12 picture. Bob Stoops' toughest job the next two weeks is going to be keeping his team focused on what should be easy games against Kansas and Iowa State, instead of looking ahead to the final three games on the slate.

Those three matchups feature a trio of undefeated contestants who sit ahead of Oklahoma in the conference standings: No. 2 Baylor, No. 5 TCU and No. 12 Oklahoma State. Winning out is obviously every team's goal; such a feat for the Sooners would not only give them the Big 12 crown, but also catapult OU right back into the College Football Playoff scrum.

Oklahoma used its defense to snuff Kansas State, 55-0, a week after being upset by the Longhorns. The Sooners then ran roughshod over Texas Tech this past Saturday for a 63-27 thumping of the Red Raiders. Perine crossed the 200-yard mark in rushing with four scores while Joe Mixon ran for more than 150 and a pair of TDs. Tech's passing game did account for 253 yards in the air, but the Sooners negated a lot of that with four picks.

 

Is KU Headed For Program's 1st Winless Season?
David Beaty might wish he was back at Texas A&M coaching receivers instead of running the show at Kansas (0-7 SU, 1-5-1 ATS). Beaty is staring at a winless season in his first try as a collegiate head coach, the Jayhawks still seeing road trips to Texas and TCU and home tilts vs. West Virginia and Kansas State after the Sooners leave town.

Of course, it hasn't helped that Beaty and the Jayhawks are already on their third quarterback of the season after losing starter Montell Cozart and Deondre Ford. Freshman Ryan Willis hasn't done all that poorly considering the circumstances, but the fact remains he's directing the 97th-ranked offense in the country (355.4 ypg), KU also among the dregs scoring but 17.9 points per game.

There's rain in the Lawrence forecast on Friday, possibly lingering into Saturday morning; at the very least, it's going to be a cloudy, humid day with temps just getting into the low-60s. The OU offense might also get into the low-60s if Stoops lets them, and I think the Sooners will do enough to cover the spread for my free college football pick.

College Football Pick: Oklahoma -39 at BetOnline

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