College Football Picks: Army vs. Navy

Jeff Grant

Thursday, December 12, 2013 2:09 PM GMT

Thursday, Dec. 12, 2013 2:09 PM GMT

The Navy Midshipmen have dominated the Army Black Knights in their heated rivalry the last 11 seasons, but this year’s edition could come down to the wire Saturday. Let’s take a closer look at the college football odds for this high-profile affair at Lincoln Financial Field, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 3:00 p.m. ET on CBS.

The biggest game

Army has compiled a 3-8 SU record this season, but there’s no bigger game on its schedule than this affair, especially since it won’t be participating in the postseason.

The Black Knights are focused on trying to snap a four-game losing streak, which includes a 49-42 setback to Hawaii. College football odds had listed them as 5.5-point road underdogs on Nov. 30, while going OVER the betting total of 61.5. 

 Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 0-5 SU and 2-3 ATS when playing with two weeks or more of rest, with the OVER going 3-2 in that situation.

A long layoff 

Navy hasn’t been seen on a football field since capturing a 58-52 triple-overtime road victory over the San Jose State Spartans on Nov. 22—losing the statistical battle for the fourth time in five affairs.

The Midshipmen are already scheduled to play in the Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl against Middle Tennessee State on Dec. 30, which is important to consider when making your college football picks Saturday.

[gameodds]6/239155/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Running the football

College football handicappers will find that the Black Knights are second in the country in averaging 323.3 rushing yards per game, which is just a spot ahead of the Midshipmen in that all-important statistical category.

It’s important to point out that Army has outgained Navy on the ground in the last three installments in this series, including a 370-167 margin in last year’s 17-13 defeat as 6.5-point underdogs.

Dominant

The Midshipmen are looking to beat the Black Knights for a series-record 12th straight year—leading directly to capturing the Commander-In-Chief’s Trophy for the ninth time in 11 seasons.

In the previous 113 installments of this rivalry series, Navy has scored 1,761 points, while Army had recorded 1,428 points.

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Black Knights, as the Midshipmen have failed to cover the number set by sportsbooks in all six opportunities when playing with two or more weeks in the last two-plus seasons.

College Football Pick: Army Black Knights +13

comment here