ACC Week 9 Overview: Improving Florida State Ready for Clemson

Monday, October 22, 2018 1:09 PM UTC

Monday, Oct. 22, 2018 1:09 PM UTC

Bet Florida State to cover the spread vs. Clemson with your college football picks for Week 9. Our analysis on this ACC free pick, including a look-in on all the conference action here.

<h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" rel="nofollow" title="Game Odds">ACC Spotlight: No.2 Clemson (-17) at Florida State</a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Saturday, noon ET, on ABC</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Free NCAAF Pick: Seminoles ATS</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Best Line Offered: <a href="http://;book=Heritage" rel="nofollow" title="Top-Rated Sportsbook">Heritage</a></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":448839, "sportsbooksIds":[169,93,19,1096,238], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>Clemson’s (7-0 SU, 3-4 ATS) offense is rolling. Its 104 combined points over the last two games is the sixth most ever in consecutive efforts under 10-year head coach Dabo Swinney. The rushing game is particularly effective this year. The Tigers accrue 6.4 yards per carry, the third best rate in the county.</p><p>Defensively, Clemson ranks in the top five nationally in regards to most key performance metrics when factoring in FBS opponents only, including points per game (14.5), yards per game (284.8), points per play (.209), and yards per play (4.1) allowed. Entering its 41-7 rout over then-ranked No. 16 N.C. State last Saturday, many considered the secondary the unit’s “weak” spot. It picked off QB Ryan Finley twice and held the Wolfpack to 193 passing yards.</p><p>Florida State (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS), meanwhile, is starting to gel after a rough few opening weeks behind first-year head coach Willie Taggart. Over the last four games, the defense is yielding only 22.0 points and 329.3 total yards per contest. It allowed 26.7 and 488.0 through its first three tilts respectively. “All the little things that we know help you win football games, our guys are doing better," Taggart said following its win over the Demon Deacons.</p><p>A non-existent run game most of the season showed life in the Seminoles’ 38-17 win over Wake Forest on Saturday. RB Cam Akers rushed for two touchdowns, including a 58-yarder, and Jacques Patrick punched in another. The pair combined for 119 yards on 24 rushes. Even with the solid effort, Florida State still ranks 128 out of 130 in rushing efficiency (2.8 yards per carry) nationally.</p><p><a href="" title="Check Out Best Sportsbooks">Oddsmakers pit Clemson a 10-point favorite in their Games of the Year lines released in May.</a> The number re-opened at -17 Sunday afternoon. Swinney has never beaten the Seminoles by more than 17 points in nine previous attempts. A recharged Florida State defense will keep the home team in contention, but Taggart’s inability to rush the ball will ultimately end any upset chances. Clemson wins, but by no more than two touchdowns. Pick Florida State ATS</p><blockquote data-lang="en"><p dir="ltr" lang="en">[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Whole team 🍽.&lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#DoSomething&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— FSU Football (@FSUFootball) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;October 21, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p></blockquote><h2 style="text-align:center">Around the ACC (All Game Saturday Unless Noted)</h2><p><strong><a href="" rel="nofollow" title="Game Odds">Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech (-6)</a>, Thursday, 7:30 p.m. ET, on ESPN</strong></p><p>Since 2015, Virginia Tech (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS) allows 15.5 points per game as home chalk in ACC play at Lane Stadium, including 10, 7, 3, and 14 in its last four under these betting conditions. Georgia Tech (3-4 SU, 2-5 ATS), on the other hand, has covered the spread in seven of eight against the Hokies catching points on the college football oddsboard behind run-option head coach Paul Johnson.</p><p><strong><a href="" rel="nofollow" title="Top-Rated Sportsbook">Miami at Boston College (-2.5)</a>, Friday, 7 p.m. ET, on ESPN</strong></p><p>Miami (5-2 SU, 3-4 ATS) is kicking off an underdog against ACC competition for just the third time under head coach Mark Richt. It failed to cover the spread in the prior two (Va. Tech, 2016; Clemson, 2017), allowing 37 and 38 points respectively. Boston College (5-2 SU, 4-2-1 ATS) is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in its last six as home chalk.</p><p><strong><a href="" rel="nofollow" title="Top-Rated Sportsbook">Wake Forest at Louisville (-2.5)</a>, noon ET, on ACC Network</strong></p><p>Including its loss against Notre Dame, Wake Forest (3-4 SU, 1-6 ATS) is yielding 49.5 points per game to Power 5 opponents. The up-tempo offense is not aiding the defense against good teams. Louisville (2-5 SU, 1-6 ATS), meanwhile, owns the worst spread margin (-14.1) among all FBS programs.</p><p><strong><a href="" rel="nofollow" title="Top-Rated Sportsbook">North Carolina at Virginia (-9.5)</a>, 12:20 p.m. ET, on ACC Network</strong></p><p>Virginia (5-2 SU, 6-1 ATS) has never laid more than 6 points to an ACC opponent behind head coach Bronco Mendehall. One has to go back to 2011 (Duke) to uncover the last time the Cavaliers gifted more than 9 points in this scenario. Since the start of last season, North Carolina (1-5 SU, 3-2-1 ATS) averages just 17.6 points in regulation time in conference road games.</p><p><strong><a href="" rel="nofollow" title="Top-Rated Sportsbook">Duke (-3) at Pittsburgh</a>, 3:30 p.m. ET, on ACC Network</strong></p><p>Duke (5-2 SU, 3-4 ATS) is 33-22-1 ATS (60.0 percent) all-time in ACC away contests under head coach David Cutcliffe. When the line falls within a touchdown, the record improves to an astonishing 20-6 ATS (76.9 percent).</p><p><strong><a href="" rel="nofollow" title="Top-Rated Sportsbook">No. 22 N.C. State at Syracuse (-1.5)</a>, 7 p.m. ET, on ESPN2</strong></p><p>N.C. State (5-1 SU, 3-2-1 ATS) has claimed victory once in its last five contests when ranked and facing off against an unranked foe, despite going off with a -0.7 average line. Syracuse (5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS), on the other hand, has covered the spread in its last four against ranked competition.</p>
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