College Football Picks: Alabama vs. Texas A&M

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, September 11, 2013 11:46 AM GMT

The Alabama Crimson Tide are out for revenge against the Texas A&M Aggies, as the two teams meet up in a high-profile affair Saturday. We breakdown this matchup and decide where we are best suited to place our college football picks.


Let’s take a closer look at the College Football odds for this SEC matchup at Kyle Field, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET on CBS.

Take a look at my College Football Picks: Opening Odds Report for Week 3.

GameDay 

Alabama will be making its 27th appearance on ESPN’s College GameDay, as it has compiled a 16-10 overall record in that situation, including a dominating 14-3 mark under current head coach Nick Saban.

The Crimson Tide have won their last 15 games away from Bryant-Denny Stadium, while they’ve gone 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS as road favorites since 2011.

It all leads to this

With the national media focused on the antics of Johnny Manziel this offseason, Texas A&M will now face its toughest test in trying to start the year with a 3-0 record, as it comes off home victories over Sam Houston State and Rice.

The Aggies are 1-4 SU when taking on the No. 1 team in the country at this venue, while dropping two of three games when playing in a matchup with both teams ranked in the Top 10 nationally.

Revenge

College football handicappers are certainly aware of the revenge factor involved in this affair, but I think it’s important to focus on the situation that the Crimson Tide were up against in suffering a 29-24 setback to the Aggies as 13.5-point home favorites last season.

Alabama was coming off an emotional and physical win over the LSU Tigers—a team that’s much different than taking on Manziel and Texas A&M’s spread offense. The result was a 20-0 deficit in the first quarter and the program never recovered.

Turnovers

Manziel is certainly a dynamic player, but I believe you have to be incredibly focused to beat a Saban-coached team, which is something he’s lacked since winning the 2012 Heisman Trophy.

On the other side, Alabama has turned the ball over just 73 times in its last 69 games—leading the nation in fewest miscues over that span.

[gameodds]6/239003/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Crimson Tide in the first half with their college football picks, as the Aggies have gone 1-3 SUATS as an underdog the last two-plus seasons. 

Alabama quarterback AJ McCarron will be ready to lead his team from the opening kickoff, as the media has completely ignored his impact on this game due to all the hype surrounding Manziel.

College Football Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide First Half 

I’m expecting the number to come out at 4.5/5 in the betting market