College Football Picks: Alabama vs. Texas A&M Betting the Total

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, September 11, 2013 1:06 PM GMT

The top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide and #6 Texas A&M Aggies will clash on Saturday afternoon in College Station, Texas with the kick-off scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET.

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This promises to be the most hyped early season contest of the college football season. There are several subplots that will take place within this contest which exemplify the excitement and intrigue of major college football. Today I will be focusing in on the total in this game. The current college football odds indicate an opening total of 62 with no movement at the time of this writing.

The “Johnny Football” Factor

Needless to say the highly controversial 2012 Heisman Trophy winner will be a key component when handicapping this premier matchup. After being suspended for the first half of the Aggies season opener versus Rice “Johnny Football” has picked up where he left off a season ago.

Manziel has completed 70% of his pass attempts (35-50) good for 520 yards while throwing for 6 touchdowns versus just 1 interception. He’s also ran for 55 yards (4.2 yards per rush) and 1 touchdown.

Granted, Rice and [last week's opponents] Sam Houston State aren’t Alabama but his numbers were impressive nonetheless. In last season’s 29-24 upset win of the then undefeated Alabama, Manziel was brilliant. Manziel went 24-31 (77.4%) for 253 yards and 2 touchdowns with no interceptions. In addition, he ran 18 times for 92 yards. He did all of this versus undoubtedly the best defense in the nation.

The Defenses

I would definitely be concerned if I was a Texas A&M backer about my team’s defense. In the first 2 games of the season, the Aggies stop unit allowed an average of 29.5 points per game. The most alarming statistic has been their vulnerability versus the run. They allowed a combined 546 yards and 5.9 yards per rush versus vastly inferior competition than what they’re about to face on Saturday. They currently rank 117 of the 125 teams in the FBS for that particular category. On a more positive note, they were able to do a decent job versus a very good Alabama rushing attack a season ago holding the Crimson Tide to 3.6 yards per rush on 45 carries.

Alabama return 7 starters from a unit that ranked #1 nationally in total defense and #2 in points per game allowed a season ago. Not a lot changed in their season opening 35-10 win versus Virginia Tech. The Tide held the Hokies to just 212 total yards. The highly touted senior quarterback of Virginia Tech Logan Thomas was stymied going a miserable 5-26 for just 59 yards in the air. Thomas is ordinarily a dangerous run threat but was completely bottled up gaining 2 yards on 5 carries.

The Offenses

Arguably, Texas A&M will be considered by many sports betting aficionados to be the more explosive offense of these two teams heading into Saturday’s showdown. As good as the Tide was on defense in their opener, the offense was far from impressive. The Tide accumulated a grand total of 206 total yards and was held to 2.5 yards per rush on 35 carries. Alabama scored on a 72-yard punt return, a 94-yard kickoff return, and a 38-yard interception return. Obviously the 35-points they scored were a bit skewed as the offense accounted for just 2 touchdowns.

There’s not a thing wrong with the Texas A&M offense heading into this contest. The Aggies are averaging 58.5 points per game and are #5 in the nation in total offense at 600.0 yards per contest. The two feature running backs Tra Carson and Ben Malena have combined to rush for 300 yards, and average 6.7 yards per carry, while scoring 6 touchdowns in the first 2 games. Their leading receiver Mike Evans has been terrific in 2013 with 13 receptions good for 239 yards (18.4 yards per catch) and 2 touchdowns.

Breaking it Down

Texas A&M easily went over the total in their first 2 contests with an average combined score of 88.0 points per game. In Manziel’s freshmen season, the Aggies saw totals of 60.0 or more in 6 of their 12 games where there was a posted total. They went under the total in 4 of those 6 games. Keep in mind that was an Aggies defense that allowed 30 points or more in just 1 of their 13 games last season. They’ve already exceeded that number in their first 2 games of 2013. The highest total in any of Alabama’s 14 games last season was 58.0 versus Florida Atlantic. As a matter of fact Alabama went under in 4 of their 5 games last season when the total was 50.0 or more. The Crimson Tide defense allowed more than 17-points in just 2 of 14 games a season ago. One of which was in their 29-24 loss to Texas A&M.

The Final Analysis

I look for Alabama running back T.J. Yeldon to have a monster game running the ball versus an Aggies defense that has no clue on how to stop the run right now. While doing so it will open up the passing game for senior quarterback A.J. McCarron.

Don’t put too much wait on Alabama’s poor performance offensively in their season opener. The Virginia Tech defense will make a lot of offenses look bad this season. The Aggies offense won’t put up the kind of numbers they did in their first 2 games, but they will get their share of yards and points.

Both clubs are capable of creating scoring chances in their return game which often gets overlooked when handicapping a total. I have a small lean toward going over the total in this contest, for my college football picks.

 [gameodds]6/239003/?r3=192-43-349-19-999997-118-238-227/dec&r-1=192-43-349-19/us[/gameodds]

NCAA FB Pick: Bet Alabama/Texas game OVER 61 points at Ladbrokes

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The “Johnny Football” Factor

 

Needless to say the highly controversial 2012 Heisman Trophy winner will be a key component when handicapping this premier matchup. After being suspended for the first half of the Aggies season opener versus Rice “Johnny Football” has picked up where he left off a season ago. Manziel has completed 70% of his pass attempts (35-50) good for 520 yards while throwing for 6 touchdowns versus just 1 interception. He’s also ran for 55 yards (4.2 yards per rush) and 1 touchdown. Granted Rice and Sam Houston State aren’t Alabama but his numbers were impressive nonetheless. In last season’s 29-24 upset win of the then undefeated Alabama Manziel was brilliant. Manziel went 24-31 (77.4%) for 253 yards and 2 touchdowns with no interceptions. In addition he ran 18 times for 92 yards. He did all of this versus undoubtedly the best defense in the nation.

 

The Defenses

 

I would definitely be concerned if I was a Texas A&M backer about my team’s defense. In the first 2 games of the season the Aggies stop unit allowed an average of 29.5 points per game. The most alarming statistic has been their vulnerability versus the run. They allowed a combined 546 yards and 5.9 yards per rush versus vastly inferior competition than what they’re about to face on Saturday. They currently rank 117 of the 125 teams in the FBS for that particular category. On a more positive note they were able to do a decent job versus a very good Alabama rushing attack a season ago holding the Crimson Tide to 3.6 yards per rush on 45 carries.

 

Alabama return 7 starters from a unit that ranked #1 nationally in total defense and #2 in points per game allowed a season ago. Not a lot changed in their season opening 35-10 win versus Virginia Tech. The Tide held the Hokies to just 212 total yards. The highly touted senior quarterback of Virginia Tech Logan Thomas was stymied going a miserable 5-26 for just 59 yards in the air. Thomas is ordinarily a dangerous run threat but was completely bottled up gaining 2 yards on 5 carries.

 

The Offenses

 

Arguably Texas A&M will be considered by many to be the more explosive offense of these two teams heading into Saturday’s showdown. As good as the Tide was on defense in their opener the offense was far from impressive. The Tide accumulated a grand total of 206 total yards and was held to 2.5 yards per rush on 35 carries. Alabama scored on a 72-yard punt return, a 94-yard kickoff return, and a 38-yard interception return. Obviously the 35-points they scored were a bit skewed as the offense accounted for just 2 touchdowns.

 

There’s not a thing wrong with the Texas A&M offense heading into this contest. The Aggies are averaging 58.5 points per game and are #5 in the nation in total offense at 600.0 yards per contest. The two feature running backs Tra Carson and Ben Malena have combined to rush for 300 yards, and average 6.7 yards per carry, while scoring 6 touchdowns in the first 2 games. Their leading receiver Mike Evans has been terrific in 2013 with 13 receptions good for 239 yards (18.4 yards per catch) and 2 touchdowns.

 

Breaking it Down

 

Texas A&M easily went over the total in their first 2 contests with an average combined score of 88.0 points per game. In Manziel’s freshmen season the Aggies saw totals of 60.0 or more in 6 of their 12 games where there was a posted total. They went under the total in 4 of those 6 games. Keep in mind that was an Aggies defense that allowed 30 points or more in just 1 of their 13 games last season. They’ve already exceeded that number in their first 2 games of 2013. The highest total in any of Alabama’s 14 games last season was 58.0 versus Florida Atlantic. As a matter of fact Alabama went under in 4 of their 5 games last season when the total was 50.0 or more. The Crimson Tide defense allowed more than 17-points in just 2 of 14 games a season ago. One of which was in their 29-24 loss to Texas A&M.

 

The Final Analysis

 

I look for Alabama running back T.J. Yeldon to have a monster game running the ball versus an Aggies defense that has no clue on how to stop the run right now. While doing so it will open up the passing game for senior quarterback A.J. McCarron. Don’t put too much wait on Alabama’s poor performance offensively in their season opener. The Virginia Tech defense will make a lot of offenses look bad this season. The Aggies offense won’t put up the kind of numbers they did in their first 2 games, but they will get their share of yards and points. Both clubs are capable of creating scoring chances in their return game which often gets overlooked when handicapping a total. I have a small lean toward going over the total in this contest.

 

College Football Free Pick: Alabama/Texas A&M Over 62.0

The top ranked Alabama Crimson Tide and #6 Texas A&M Aggies will clash on Saturday afternoon in College Station, Texas with kickoff at 3:30 PM ET. This promises to be the most hyped early season contest of the college football season. There are several subplots that will take place within this contest which exemplifies the excitement and intrigue of major college football. Today I will be focusing in on the total in this game. The current football odds indicate an opening total of 62.0 with no movement at the time of this writing.

 

The “Johnny Football” Factor

 

Needless to say the highly controversial 2012 Heisman Trophy winner will be a key component when handicapping this premier matchup. After being suspended for the first half of the Aggies season opener versus Rice “Johnny Football” has picked up where he left off a season ago. Manziel has completed 70% of his pass attempts (35-50) good for 520 yards while throwing for 6 touchdowns versus just 1 interception. He’s also ran for 55 yards (4.2 yards per rush) and 1 touchdown. Granted Rice and Sam Houston State aren’t Alabama but his numbers were impressive nonetheless. In last season’s 29-24 upset win of the then undefeated Alabama Manziel was brilliant. Manziel went 24-31 (77.4%) for 253 yards and 2 touchdowns with no interceptions. In addition he ran 18 times for 92 yards. He did all of this versus undoubtedly the best defense in the nation.

 

The Defenses

 

I would definitely be concerned if I was a Texas A&M backer about my team’s defense. In the first 2 games of the season the Aggies stop unit allowed an average of 29.5 points per game. The most alarming statistic has been their vulnerability versus the run. They allowed a combined 546 yards and 5.9 yards per rush versus vastly inferior competition than what they’re about to face on Saturday. They currently rank 117 of the 125 teams in the FBS for that particular category. On a more positive note they were able to do a decent job versus a very good Alabama rushing attack a season ago holding the Crimson Tide to 3.6 yards per rush on 45 carries.

 

Alabama return 7 starters from a unit that ranked #1 nationally in total defense and #2 in points per game allowed a season ago. Not a lot changed in their season opening 35-10 win versus Virginia Tech. The Tide held the Hokies to just 212 total yards. The highly touted senior quarterback of Virginia Tech Logan Thomas was stymied going a miserable 5-26 for just 59 yards in the air. Thomas is ordinarily a dangerous run threat but was completely bottled up gaining 2 yards on 5 carries.

 

The Offenses

 

Arguably Texas A&M will be considered by many to be the more explosive offense of these two teams heading into Saturday’s showdown. As good as the Tide was on defense in their opener the offense was far from impressive. The Tide accumulated a grand total of 206 total yards and was held to 2.5 yards per rush on 35 carries. Alabama scored on a 72-yard punt return, a 94-yard kickoff return, and a 38-yard interception return. Obviously the 35-points they scored were a bit skewed as the offense accounted for just 2 touchdowns.

 

There’s not a thing wrong with the Texas A&M offense heading into this contest. The Aggies are averaging 58.5 points per game and are #5 in the nation in total offense at 600.0 yards per contest. The two feature running backs Tra Carson and Ben Malena have combined to rush for 300 yards, and average 6.7 yards per carry, while scoring 6 touchdowns in the first 2 games. Their leading receiver Mike Evans has been terrific in 2013 with 13 receptions good for 239 yards (18.4 yards per catch) and 2 touchdowns.

 

Breaking it Down

 

Texas A&M easily went over the total in their first 2 contests with an average combined score of 88.0 points per game. In Manziel’s freshmen season the Aggies saw totals of 60.0 or more in 6 of their 12 games where there was a posted total. They went under the total in 4 of those 6 games. Keep in mind that was an Aggies defense that allowed 30 points or more in just 1 of their 13 games last season. They’ve already exceeded that number in their first 2 games of 2013. The highest total in any of Alabama’s 14 games last season was 58.0 versus Florida Atlantic. As a matter of fact Alabama went under in 4 of their 5 games last season when the total was 50.0 or more. The Crimson Tide defense allowed more than 17-points in just 2 of 14 games a season ago. One of which was in their 29-24 loss to Texas A&M.

 

The Final Analysis

 

I look for Alabama running back T.J. Yeldon to have a monster game running the ball versus an Aggies defense that has no clue on how to stop the run right now. While doing so it will open up the passing game for senior quarterback A.J. McCarron. Don’t put too much wait on Alabama’s poor performance offensively in their season opener. The Virginia Tech defense will make a lot of offenses look bad this season. The Aggies offense won’t put up the kind of numbers they did in their first 2 games, but they will get their share of yards and points. Both clubs are capable of creating scoring chances in their return game which often gets overlooked when handicapping a total. I have a small lean toward going over the total in this contest.

 

College Football Free Pick: Alabama/Texas A&M Over 62.0