College Football Picks Against The Spread - UCF vs. Florida International

UCF Knights RB

Ian Cameron

Friday, September 23, 2016 2:46 PM UTC

Friday, Sep. 23, 2016 2:46 PM UTC

Sports handicapper Ian Cameron provides his Play Of The Week for College Football Week 4 action. He takes a look into the battle between Florida schools and provides his NCAAF Pick.

Central Florida Knights vs Florida International Golden Panthers
We have a tale of two teams and programs going in opposite directions in this battle between Florida schools. UCF is the team on the rise as they have been toughened up in a big way the last couple weeks playing Michigan on the road and only being outgained by a little over 100 yards despite the 51-14 loss and an injury to starting QB Justin Holman in that game. Last week at home against an improved Maryland team, UCF battled them right to the end covering wire-to-wire as double-digit home underdogs in a 30-24 OT loss. 

The Knights are showing slow but steady improvement each week and should continue to do so now that freshman QB McKenzie Milton has taken over at QB as he provides this team with more upside at the position than either Holman or Nick Patti. Milton had 2 TD’s and 1 INT and a solid completion rate in his first start against Maryland last week. He fumbled three times but those are correctable mistakes heading into his second start and head coach Scott Frost has been very complimentary of Milton. 

UCF is averaging over 227 yards per game on the ground which is bad news for a very woeful Florida International defense which is surrendering 200 rush yards per game and 4.5 yards per carry and giving up. The FIU offense hasn’t been any better as returning starting QB Alex McGough throwing 4 INT’s without a single TD pass in their first three games in which FIU has gone 0-3 SU and ATS against Indiana, Maryland and UMass losing those games by a combined score of 96-40. FIU beat UCF 15-14 on a late TD drive when these teams met last season and I think the Knights return the favor and earn some revenge and not only win this game but win it by margin. I’ll take UCF -6.5 as my Play Of The Week in College Football.

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CFB POW Record: 2-1 67%

Free College Football Pick: Central Florida -6.5
Best Line Offered: at TheGreek

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