College Football Pick: Weekend Upset

Steven Suarez

Thursday, December 5, 2013 6:49 PM GMT

Thursday, Dec. 5, 2013 6:49 PM GMT

Who could have imagined it would be these two teams in the SEC Championship game? It's the battle of the Tigers in Atlanta and it's Auburn that's favored.

Odds Overview

Auburn is the favorite, as they're laying two points on the college football odds at most of the sportsbooks. Some sites had the Tigers giving away 1.5 points to start, but that number has now risen. The O/U is at 58 points.

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Missouri Tigers

The Tigers finished 5-7 (2-6 in the SEC) last year, losing to all of the ranked teams (Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina, Florida, Texas A&M) that they came up against.

It's all comes together in 2013 though.

Missouri has lost just one time, and it came in heart-breaking fashion in double overtime against South Carolina. Other than that the Tigers have stormed through the competition, beating Georgia, Texas A&M, Ole Miss and Florida.

James Franklin is back and healthy. He proved it in a 28-21 win over the Aggies, as he outplayed Johnny Manziel. With his help (and Maty Mauk's), the Tigers have sported a balanced attack that ranks #18 in total offense. They haven't been too shabby (#49) on the defensive side of the ball either.

Those tall and talented wideouts could pose problems for Auburn. L'Damian Washington, Dorial Green-Beckham and Marcus Lucas have all been making plays this season. In the backfield, Henry Josey, Marcus Murphy and Russell Hansbrough have been the three main guys.

Auburn Tigers

Like Missouri, it's been an amazing turnaround for Auburn this season.

Last year the Tigers went 3-9 and didn't win a single game in the conference. Their only three wins came over UL Monroe, New Mexico State and Alabama A&M.

This season? Well, they've only gone and won 11 games, which includes a sparkling 7-1 SEC mark. They beat the likes of Alabama, Texas A&M, Ole Miss and Georgia, with their only defeat coming at LSU. The win over the Crimson Tide was obviously one for the ages and booked them a spot in this huge showdown for all of the conference marbles.

Guz Mulzahn has done a magnificent job. His team is ranked #16 in total offense, in large part due to a rushing attack that's putting up an impressive 318.3 yards per game.

Nick Marshall has been using his dual-threat ability to good use, rushing for 922 yards and 10 touchdowns to go along with his 11 passing scores. Tre Mason has 1317 rushing yards and 18 touchdowns and Cameron Artis-Payne and Corey Grant have reached the endzone five times each as well.

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College Football Picks: Weekend Value Picks

College Football Pick

Both teams have been killing it against the spread, which comes as no surprise given how under-appreciated (and undervalued apparently) they've been this season. Auburn is 10-2 ATS and Gary Pinkel's crew is 10-1-1 against the number.

It's not a huge upset or anything, but Missouri is the underdog and we think they'll win this game straight up to become SEC champions.

Marshall is going to be a tough assignment, but the Tigers dealt really well with Manziel last weekend, so they should be prepared for what the talented Auburn signal caller brings to the table. The Missouri defense is big and athletic, so we foresee them handling the occasion well.

On the other side of the ball, we talked about Missouri's wide receiver corps and we think they'll get the better of a shaky Auburn secondary.

With that said, let's roll with Franklin, Josey and the rest of the bunch to cash as dogs for our college football picks.

College Football Pick: Missouri Tigers +2 & ML (+110)

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