College Football Pick - Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs UCF Knights - Week 12

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Friday, November 18, 2016 1:54 PM GMT

When it come to their division, both Tulsa and UCF find themselves on the 'outside looking in'. As they clash on primetime Saturday Night on a Nationally televised game, Joe Gavazzi reviews the College Football Odds and makes his prediction.

Tulsa (-1) vs UCF 8:00 ET ESN

Each week, I isolate a team whose offense has been explosive and consistent all season long. Today’s choice is the Tulsa Golden Hurricane. Under 2nd year HC Montgomery and RB Evans, the Hurricanes have been blowing away opponents with regularity. Even in last week’s heart wrenching 42-40 loss to Navy, Tulsa still logged 200 Club numbers for the 4th consecutive week. In doing so, they have put up 566 offensive yards four consecutive times. Under Montgomery, Tulsa is a proven road team who is 8-4 ATS in 2 years. Already this season, they have beaten a team similar to UCF (Memphis) on the road by a score of 59-30. 

The question for Tulsa is whether they can bounce back from that Navy defeat to get motivated for a matchup against a team they beat 45-30 last season. My answer to that is a resounding yes!  At least on the offensive side of the football! This Tulsa offensive machine is clearly purring. The ego and pride of these offensive players will be looking to continue their onslaught of opposing defenses. In short, they will be operating under the concept of IF IT AINT BROKE, DON’T FIX IT. As such, there is a good chance for them to continue their 200 Club onslaught in outgaining their 5th consecutive opponent.

Today’s opponent is one of the biggest turnaround stories on the CFB landscape. Last year’s HC George OLeary had grown long in the tooth and was beyond his expiration date. The result, fueled by numerous injuries, was a 0-12 SU, 2-9 ATS mark (after a record of 31-9 SU the previous 3 years). It was an ideal spot for 1st year HC Frost (former Nebraska QB and Oregon Asst.) to come in and pick up the pieces. That he has done with a turnaround that has seen the Knights go 6-4 SU, 8-2 ATS. That is not a surprise, considering how their Power Rating had been beaten down by the end of last year. But, a closer look inside the numbers sees that although this team has a winning record, both SU and ATS, THIS BALLOON IS ABOUT TO BURST. The reason for that is that THEY HAVE BEEN OUTGAINED IN ALL 6 CONFERENCE CONTESTS, INCLUDING EVEN THE LAST 2 WEEKS AGAINST SUB.500 TEAMS, Cinci and Tulane - a combined 1-11 SU in league play. They won these two games by a combined 61-9 in large part because of a combined (+6) net TO margin. Talk about a balloon that is about to burst! I invite you to put the College Football ODDS in your favor and join me in my College Football PICK on Tulsa tonight.

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Free College Football Pick: Tulsa -1.5

Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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