College Football Pick: Texas-San Antonio -9 over Tulane

LT Profits Sports Group

Monday, November 4, 2013 5:00 AM UTC

Monday, Nov. 4, 2013 5:00 AM UTC

The Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners have been getting better every week in their second season in the FBS and now look for a big home win over Tulane Saturday.

It could be a simple case of an undervalued home team hosting an overvalued road team on Saturday when the Tulane Green Wave (6-3, 2-2 away) pay a visit to the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners (4-5, 1-3 home) at the Alamodome in San Antonio, TX at 2:00 ET.

The point spread at Pinnacle Sports has Texas-San Antonio as a home favorite for this contest with the current line at -9 with odds of -106.

UTSA may be 4-5 overall but the Roadrunners just keep getting better every week in only their second season as an FBS program, and that fact has not been lost on sharp bettors as this line has been driven up from an opener of -7 at Pinnacle following a 34-15 road win by UTSA at Tulsa last week as a 3½-point dog.

Tulane meanwhile is probably not as good as its 6-3 record as it has taken advantage of an easy schedule that ranks 109th in SOS and yet still continues to struggle offensively, averaging less than 300 total yards per game.

It would be an accomplishment for the Roadrunners to become bowl eligible in their second season in the FBS, and that is exactly what would happen if they win two of their last three games. And remember that even when UTSA began the season 2-5, it covered the spread vs. the likes of Arizona and Oklahoma State, and doing battle with teams of that caliber has apparently suited the Roadrunners well while going 3-2 in Conference USA play.

That leaves UTSA just one game behind three 4-1 teams in the West Division including this Tulane team, so that could to this point make this the biggest game in the brief FBS history of the Roadrunners, who since starting 2-5 have beaten UAB 52-31 at home and Tulsa 34-15 on the road as mentioned last week while racking up a total of 923 yards of offense in the two wins. UTSA is now averaging 418.4 yards per game for the entire season.

If the Roadrunners continue their upswing or even if they just maintain their season average of 27.3 points, Tulane should have a tough time keeping pace. The 6-3 record by the Green Wave looks like more of a farce when you consider that they have been outgained in seven of their nine games this season, and in the two games where they did manage to outgain their opponents, it was by just 25 and 75 yards respectively.

Tulane is ranked only 117th in the country in total offense at 299.7 yards per game, and its third loss of the season came 34-17 last week to a Florida Atlantic team that was seemingly in disarray after its coach Carl Pelini was forced to resign amidst drug charges. Instead of taking advantage of that situation, the Green Wave were simply horrendous offensively totaling a mere 167 yards on a disgusting 2.2 yards per rush and 3.4 yards per pass attempt!

Look for UTSA to get one step closer to becoming bowl eligible with a double-digit win in front of a pleased home crowd on Saturday.


College Football Pick: Texas-San Antonio -9 (-106)

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