College Football Pick - Ohio State Buckeyes vs Michigan State Spartans

Wednesday, November 16, 2016 8:29 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 16, 2016 8:29 PM UTC

The Ohio St. Buckeyes travel to Michigan St. for this Noon ET kickoff as televised by ESPN. It is clearly a battle of two teams headed opposite directions, and capper Joe Gavazzi has free NCAAF Pick for this game.

Ohio St. (-22) at Michigan St. Noon ET ESPN

 In short, Ohio St. wins this one big!

It was at this time last season that Michigan St. was opening the season 12-1 SU, culminating with a Big 10 playoff victory vs. Iowa. Then, reality struck for the Spartans in a 38-0 playoff loss to Alabama.  With just 9 RS, the Spartans have not been the same since! The season-opening win vs. Furman was lethargic. In hindsight, the game 2 win over a 4-6 SU Notre Dame team was not as originally thought to be.  But, the start of the Big 10 season began a downward spiral of 0-7 SU, 1-6 ATS. The bleeding stopped last week, when the Spartans took out a year of frustration with a 49-0 home victory against Rutgers.  It is the hope of Spartan faithful that the confidence-building win keys late season momentum in a LHG scenario which will be akin to the Spartan’s Bowl game. This year’s demise, however, has been part of an overall picture that left the Spartans a bit overpriced, following their previous 3-year run of 36-5 SU. For, they are now on negative slides of 8-16 and 3-8 ATS. What goes up, must come down! There are positives for Michigan St. As under 10th year HC Dantonio, they are recently 12-2 ATS as underdog, including 2-0 ATS this season against Notre Dame and Michigan. They also have a strong recent history against Ohio St. as Dantonio is 2-1 SU ATS  in the last 3 years against Ohio St.’s Urban Meyer.  

That includes Ohio St’s 17-14 loss in this matchup last season, when the Buckeyes lost the game because of two critical TOs, despite outgaining Michigan St. 294-132. That alone would be enough motivation for Meyer and the Buckeyes. But, the real edge the Buckeyes will bring to this game is their motivation for a post-season playoff appearance. In Tuesday night’s recently released playoff standings, Ohio St. is No. 2 in the land, trailing only Alabama for the top spot. But, they are closely followed by Michigan, Clemson, Louisville and Washington, all of whom also have just 1 defeat. You can throw a blanket over the ratings of these 5 teams. Following the Buckeyes’ improbable loss at Penn St. (October 22nd), they have rebounded smartly. In the last 2 weeks, they have slaughtered Nebraska (62-3) with a 590-204 yardage edge.  Last week, the followed it up by the same score (62-3), again pounding Maryland in the yardage column 581-176. In both games, they outrushed their foe by a greater than 3 to 1 margin and had a balanced attack, rushing for at least 238 yards and passing for at least 328 yards.  In so doing, they covered the spread in those games by a whopping 73 points. There is the obvious look-ahead to their game against Michigan next week.  But, it is difficult to not favor this late-season momentum of Ohio St., backed by their revenge motive, for a blowout victory against Michigan St., who could well toss the towel once the scoreboard gets out of hand.

I invite you to put the College Football ODDS in your favor and join me in my College Football PICK on Ohio St. today.

Remember to drop by SBR's list of the best-ranked bonuses, and find out which of the top rated sportsbooks is offering the best deals!

Free College Football Pick: Ohio St -21.5Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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