College Football Pick: Houston vs. UCF

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, November 6, 2013 1:09 PM GMT

Wednesday, Nov. 6, 2013 1:09 PM GMT

The UCF Knights have won their last four Homecoming games, as they prepare to host the Houston Cougars Saturday night. Will UCF be able to keep up their winning streak? Find out where we've decided to place our money.

Let’s take a closer look at the NCAA football betting odds for this American Athletic Conference matchup at Bright House Networks Stadium, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 7 p.m. ET.

Take a look at our SBR's College Football Picks for Week 11 Betting Odds Report

Scoring early and often

Houston is 7-1 SUATS through eight games of the 2013 season, as it has earned the distinction of being the only FBS team to score in every quarter played, while also leading the country with a plus-20 turnover margin.

The Cougars are led offensively by quarterback John O’Korn, who leads all true freshmen with 22 passing touchdowns and an efficiency rating of 163.5.

Coming off the bye

UCF is riding a three-game winning streak, as it comes off its second bye week of the season, which directly followed a 62-17 blowout victory over the Connecticut Huskies as 24-point home favorites on Oct. 26.

The Knights are 3-2 SU/ATS after a week off the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 4-1 in that situation.

Forcing turnovers

College football handicappers may elect to take the road underdog in this spot, considering the Cougars have forced multiple turnovers in 15 consecutive games dating back to last season.

Houston has just eight seniors among its top 46 spots on offense and defense, but UCF entered the year with the same number of final-year players on its entire roster—ranking as the second-fewest in the country.

Protecting Bortles

The Knights have allowed just four quarterback sacks over their last six games, which is important to handicap given the fact that junior quarterback Blake Bortles is known for protecting the football.

Bortles has thrown for 1,870 yards and 15 touchdowns with just four interceptions, while running back Storm Johnson averages 84.6 rushing yards per game.

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Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Knights for their college football picks, as they’ve gone 10-5 ATS in their last 15 home games.

NCAAF Pick: UCF Knights -10.5

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