College Football Pick: Georgia Tech -10 over Virginia

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, October 23, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 23, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Georgia Tech has one of the best running games in the country and a solid defense, making for a tough combination when the Yellowjackets visit Virginia Saturday.

One of the best rushing attacks in the entire land and a very solid defense should be enough to propel the road favorites to an easy double-digit victory Saturday afternoon when the Georgia Tech Yellowjackets (4-3, 1-2 away) pay a visit to the Virginia Cavaliers (2-5, 2-3 home) at Scott Stadium in Charlottesville, VA at 12:30 ET in a game available on both ESPN GamePlan and ESPN3

The point spread at Pinnacle Sports has Georgia Tech as a decided road favorite for this contest with the current line at -10 with odds of -104.

It has been an up and down season for Georgia Tech, which opened the season at 3-0, then lost three straight games and then got back on track with a 56-0 annihilation of the Syracuse Orange last Saturday while rushing for 394 yards on 5.9 yards per carry! That is nothing new for the Yellowjackets, as they rank fourth in the country with their 305.4 rushing yards per game.

Virginia, on the other hand, has hit the skids by losing four straight games with two of those losses coming here at home despite being favored in both games, most recently dropping a 35-22 home decision vs. Duke last week as a 2½-point favorite.

While the Yellowjackets are most definitely a one-dimensional running team, that approach has served them well as they do not really have a bad loss, with the earlier three-game losing streak coming vs. BYU, the Miami Hurricanes and Virginia Tech. That rushing attack always gives the Jackets a chance to win as long as they do not fall far behind, and we do not envision that happening here.

On the other side of the ball, Georgia Tech ranks an excellent 13th in the country in total defense, and while it is true that part of the reason for that is because the defense is not on the field as long as a lot of other teams with the offense dominating Time of Possession with the running game, the fact that the Yellowjackets are allowing 5.6 yards per play overall does help validate its defensive ranking.

Virginia has struggled vs. some lesser opponents than Georgia Tech, even losing at home to Ball State as 3½-point favorites in non-conference play recently, and we just do not see how the Cavaliers can stay within single digits here, even at home.

It has been an adventure for Virginia on offense, as it ranks 86th in the country in total offense at 373.7 yards per game and 101st in scoring with 22.3 points. Defensively, the Cavaliers’ strength is defending the pass as it is allowing only 6.4 yards per pass attempt, but that does them little good vs. the one-dimension Georgia Tech rushing offense.

Virginia was gashed for 180 rushing yards by a Duke team not known for a devastating running attack, so how are the Cavaliers supposed to deal with the Yellowjackets’ option? They certainly failed in that regard last season when these teams met in Atlanta, as Georgia Tech piled up 461 rushing yards in a 56-20 rout.

While the venue has changed this year, expect a similar result with Georgia Tech winning easily by double-digits on Saturday.


College Football Pick: Georgia Tech -10 (-104)

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