College Football Pick: Fresno State vs. San Jose State

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, November 27, 2013 2:04 PM GMT

Wednesday, Nov. 27, 2013 2:04 PM GMT

The Fresno State Bulldogs are trying to crash the BCS party this season, as they prepare to play the San Jose State Spartans Friday. Find out where we believe the best value lies.

Let’s take a closer look at the college football betting lines for this Mountain West Conference matchup at Spartan Stadium, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET on the CBS Sports Network.

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Plenty of football ahead

Fresno State is already set to play in the first-ever Mountain West Championship game on Dec. 7, while it also has visions of earning a spot in a BCS bowl, as it sits in the No. 16 spot in the standings.

The Bulldogs are 10-0 SU and 4-6 ATS through 10 games this season—coming off a dominating 69-28 win over the New Mexico Lobos as 34.5-point home favorites last Saturday.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 9-8 SU and 12-4-1 ATS on the road, with the OVER going 10-7 in that situation.

Going in the wrong direction

San Jose State is still a win away from becoming bowl eligible, as it attempts to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 58-52 triple-overtime defeat to Navy last Friday—despite winning the statistical battle by 122 yards.

The Spartans are allowing 33.5 points per game, which is bad news when taking on an opponent that has won all 18 games under its current head coach when scoring 30 or more points.

Driving that Car-r

College football handicappers will likely land on the road favorite in this spot, as Bulldogs quarterback Derek Carr has thrown for 3,948 yards and 37 touchdowns with four interceptions this season.

The Heisman Trophy candidate leads an offense that ranks second in averaging 574.9 yards per game, which has led to scoring at least 35 points in every game.

Facing top competition

The Spartans have lost 21 consecutive games against ranked opponents, with their last victory in this situation coming on Nov. 4, 2000.

It’s still important to point out that San Jose State’s passing game is capable of matching Carr’s production, as it ranks ninth in college football in averaging 335.8 yards per game.

Make sure to check out our:

College Football Picks: Week 14 Betting Odds Report

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Spartans for their college football picks, as they’ve gone 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog.

San Jose State quarterback David Fales ranks sixth among active players with a 158.36 passer rating.

College Football Pick:  San Jose State Spartans +7.5

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