College Football Pick: Dog to Cover Steep Number in UMass vs. Notre Dame

Joe Gavazzi

Friday, September 25, 2015 4:11 PM GMT

Each week in this space, I will isolate the CFB BIG DOG OF THE WEEK. It will be on an CFB  team that is an underdog of 6 or more points. This selection will be a blend of statistical, situational, and technical analyses that will result in an outstanding opportunity for you to cash a winning ticket.

CFB BIG DOG OF THE WEEK … UMass (+29)

UMass at Notre Dame (-29) 3:30 ET NBC

UMass visits Notre Dame for this 3:30 ET NBC kickoff on Saturday afternoon.  This is arguably the most important game in the history of the UMass program.  For Notre Dame, it is the least important game on their schedule.  Huge situational advantage to the Minutemen!  As a result, a Minuteman team, who is quite possibly the most experienced team in the country, is my College football picks for this week's big dog play.

The injury situation at Notre Dame has been well-documented.  Last week, with starting QB Zaire injured, the Fighting Irish rallied behind 1st time starter Kizer, who along with a swarming defense, pulled a home dog upset (30-22) against formerly undefeated Georgia Tech.  In so doing, they were a 200 CLUB offensive member, outgaining the high-powered Tech offense by combined numbers of 461-337.  Now, they must face a team who had just 3 victories last season and is winless in a pair of starts this year.  Surely, the trip to Clemson next week holds far more significance than this outing.  Notre Dame has been overpriced as home chalk in its long and storied history.  Today, they come in to the matchup with a recent 5-12 ATS mark as chalk and 5-13 ATS as double digit favorite. 

Last week, UMass gave Temple all they could handle, as one of our picks last week, as we relied on the contrarian approach when placing our wagers.  The eventual 25-23 loss as (+13) will actually serve to inspire confidence for the Minutemen that they can be competitive with a quality opponent.  Even if they get blown out in the early going, UMass has huge potential to come through the backdoor, behind QB Frohnapfel, who passed for 393 yards last week against Temple and is leading a UMass passing game that averages 321 PYPG through the air.

Put the College Football odds in your favor in this contest with our BIG DOG OF THE WEEK PLAY on UMass, a team with huge offensive potential against the Fighting Irish team who gets sandwiched between their Georgia Tech upset and their game vs. high-profiled Clemson next week.

Free College Football Picks: UMass +29 at BetOnline