Trick Or Treat? Ball State Upsets Toledo on Halloween (Trick)

toledo ball state

Matthew Jordan

Monday, October 29, 2018 4:05 PM UTC

Monday, Oct. 29, 2018 4:05 PM UTC

On Halloween night, sports bettors have been gifted a college football betting opportunity as Ball State visits Toledo in MAC action. Major QB questions on both sides. 

Ball State (3-6 SU, 4-5 ATS) at Toledo (4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS)Wednesday, 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2)Free NCAAF Pick: Rockets ATSBest Line Offered: SportsBetting

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It’s that time of year where there’s MACtion just about every weeknight, and the Halloween night game is Ball State at Toledo on ESPN2. Like to tell you this means something but it really doesn’t – neither has a shot to win the MAC West Division … well, the Rockets have a slim one.

The goal at this point for both is to get bowl eligible. Ball State hasn’t made a bowl since 2013 when it finished 10-3 under Pete Lembo. The wheels fell off under him after that. Mike Neu, in his third season, hasn’t improved anything. Toledo usually contends for the MAC title and has made a bowl each of the past four years. It hasn’t finished with a losing record since 2009.

The Rockets lead the all-time series with the Cardinals 23-19-1. Toledo won its fourth straight in the series last year – tied for the longest by either team in the series – in a 58-17 rout. That was the largest margin of victory for either side in the series, which dates to 1975. Diontae Johnson, still a big contributor for Toledo, caught four passes for 170 yards and two scores and returned a punt 87 yards for a touchdown. The Rockets had 602 yards of offense yet held the ball for not even 21 minutes. They had a lot of big plays.

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Well that didn't take long...

A little razzle-dazzle from @ToledoFB! #MACtion pic.twitter.com/ErhwUocQ3R

— #MACtion (@MACSports) October 26, 2018
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QB Questions on Both Sides

Toledo played by far its best game of the season last Thursday night as a 4.5-point underdog at Western Michigan, which had been unbeaten in the conference and tied atop the MAC West. The Rockets rolled to a 51-24 victory behind backup quarterback Eli Peters.

On the second-to-last play of the first half, starter Mitchell Guadagni was injured. Peters, a sophomore, entered and took a roughing the passer penalty that set up a Jameson Vest field goal on the final play of the half to make it 24-17 Toledo. In the second half, Peters was 8-for-14 for 107 yards and three scores – all to senior Cody Thompson, who now has nine TD catches on the year. At 2-2 in the MAC, Toledo now still has that outshot shot to win the West but would have to win out and get help. Still unclear as of this writing if Guadagni plays this week.

Ball State was trucked at Ohio on Thursday, 52-14. The Bobcats, one of the nation’s top rushing teams, had 411 yards on the ground and scored on eight straight possessions. The last time Ohio reached 400 rushing yards in a game was in 2005 against the Cardinals. BSU managed just 242 total and gave it away three times.

There must have been something in the water on Thursday because Ball State’s staring QB, Riley Neal, also left in the second quarter (knee) with his team down 24-7. Neal was 7 of 16 for 76 yards and had three rushes for 20 yards. Sophomore Drew Plitt replaced him and was 9-for-17 for 86 yards with a pick while rushing for a short TD. Not clear if Neal will play as of this writing.

  • Cardinals are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games in October.
  • Rockets are 11-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

OK, only need to make a pick without knowing if either starting QB is playing. Has the potential to be a letdown game for the Rockets, but BSU isn’t very good and Toledo now knows it has conference title hopes. Plus, Peters has plenty of experience and Plitt doesn’t if it comes down to those two. Take the home side for a Wednesday NCAAF pick.

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