College Football Pick: Auburn vs. Tennessee

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, November 6, 2013 12:25 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 6, 2013 12:25 PM UTC

The Tennessee Volunteers were hammered on the road in their last two games, but they’ll likely be reenergized in front of their home crowd against the Auburn Tigers Saturday. Where do we believe the best value lies?

Let’s take a closer look at the college football odds for this Southeastern Conference matchup at Neyland Stadium, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Take a look at our SBR's College Football Picks for Week 11 Betting Odds Report

Tough spot

Auburn lands in its toughest situational spot of the 2013 campaign, as it prepares to play back-to-back road games for the first time—picking up a 35-17 victory over the Arkansas Razorbacks as 9.5-point favorites last Saturday.

The Tigers have won five consecutive games against the Volunteers, but the last meeting came in 2009.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 3-9 SU and 5-7 ATS when playing away from Jordan-Hare Stadium.


Tennessee returns home after losing back-to-back games to the Missouri Tigers and Alabama Crimson Tide by a 76-13 margin, while losing the statistical battle by a combined 325 yards.

The Volunteers have compiled a 27-2 SU record on Homecoming since 1984, as they prepare to play a school-record seventh ranked opponent this season.

Relying on the ground game

There’s no question that the Tigers will try to win this game on the ground, as they’ve thrown the fewest passes among SEC teams.

Auburn has won the rushing battle in each of its last five contests, which isn’t surprising due to ranking fourth in the country by averaging 306.2 yards per game in that category.

A long losing streak in this situation

College football handicappers will have a hard time backing the home underdog in this spot, considering the Volunteers have lost 19 consecutive games against AP Top 10 opponents.

Tennessee will lean heavily on its offensive line in hopes of springing the upset, as the unit enters with 163 combined starts and will be in charge of protecting true freshman quarterback Joshua Dobbs.

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I’m going to recommend that readers back the Volunteers for their college football pick, as they’ve covered the number in their first two SEC home games, while head coach Butch Jones sounded off in his press conference that he expects a passionate effort at home from his roster.

NCAAF Pick:  Tennessee Volunteers +7.5

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