College Football Opening Lines Week 12: A Look At The AP Top 10

Ohio State players getting ready to play

Monday, November 14, 2016 9:32 PM GMT

Here’s a look at college football's opening lines for the Associated Press Top-10 teams in Week 12. The poll got a major shakeup with the Nos. 2-4 teams losing on Saturday, the first time that happened in 31 years. 

There was quite the shakeup among top-ranked teams following Week 11 with three of the AP top five (Clemson, Michigan, and Washington) losing outright. In the aftermath, Ohio State benefited the most, catapulting to No. 2 following a commanding 62-3 win at Maryland. No 1 Alabama, meanwhile, received all 61 first-place votes for the first time all season.

 

Chattanooga at No. 1 Alabama (Off)

This game is off the board until later in the week, as is the modus operandi when FCS and FBS schools clash. The Crimson Tide kick off around a 44.5-point favorite on average against former I-AA programs under Nick Saban. They are 4-6 ATS overall in them, though the Tide have outscored Chattanooga 94-0 in two meetings during this span.

 

No. 2 Ohio State (-22) at Michigan State

Experts projected the young Spartans to have an off year, but a 3-7 record was worst-case scenario. The line adjusted to -23 following a -22 opener for the Buckeyes. It’s the most points Ohio State has laid at East Lansing in at least the last four decades. Sportsbooks head coach Urban Meyer’s men 4.5-point chalk in its Game of the Year lines released in May.

 

No. 3 Louisville (-14) at Houston

This Thursday night matchup opened off the board on college football odds with Houston star quarterback Greg Ward Jr.’s health status in question. Ward aggravated a right shoulder injury against Tulane -- the one he originally sustained in the Cougars’ 33-23 win over Oklahoma in the opener. To make matters worse, the Green Wave also knocked out backup Kyle Postma with a left arm injury. True freshman D'Eriq King is next on the depth chart. But it looks as if Ward will play and this opened at some of SBR's best sportsbooks as Cards -14.

 Indiana at No. 4 Michigan (-28.5)

The Wolverines’ 14-13 defeat as 21.5-point chalk at Iowa last Saturday was only the fourth time in the last four decades they have lost outright when favored by 20 or more for a contest -- the last was the infamous 34-32 defeat to Appalachian State (+31) in 2007. Chances are good another major meltdown will be avoided. Michigan is 27-1 straight up (16-11-1 ATS) in the last 28 meetings against Indiana, kicking off approximately -16.5 points on average. This line could move as there are reports Michigan starting QB Wilton Speight is out with a collarbone injury.

 

No. 5 Clemson (-21) at Wake Forest

The line moved to -23.5 within hours of offering. History is not on the Tigers’ side in this situation. When asked to cover a spread of more than two touchdowns at BB&T Field, Clemson is 0-4 ATS.

 

No. 6 Wisconsin (-24.5) at Purdue

Books adjusted to -27 in early trading. The Badgers are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 matchups with a 21.8 average margin of victory. They’ve held the Boilermakers to 11.7 points per game during this span, never allowing more than 20.

 

Arizona State at No. 7 Washington (-26)

The Huskies have kicked off dogs in 10 of the last 11 meetings, last spotting double digits in 1999. The Sun Devils carry a 10-0 ATS streak in the series.

 

No. 8 Oklahoma (-4.5) at No.10 West Virginia

The Big 12 has a pair of teams in the AP top 10, and they happen to square off this weekend in one of only two ranked-vs.-ranked matchups with the Sooners opening a 4.5-point favorites. No. 23 Washington State at No. 12 Colorado is the other game. The line adjusted furiously to -1.5 within the first hours of trading, early money flowing in behind the Mountaineers. It’s the first time since a Week 10 encounter with TCU in 2014 that West Virginia is receiving points at home in the betting market. Oklahoma head coach Bob Stoops has beaten Dana Holgerson’s Mountaineers in all four meetings Big 12 by an average of 10.5 points.

 

No. 9 Penn State (-24.5) at Rutgers

The Nittany Lions have never been asked to cover more than 14.5 points against a Big Ten program in three seasons under head coach James Franklin. Rutgers is 1-8 against FBS foes, losing by 27 points per game. Last weekend’s 49-0 defeat at Michigan State was the third goose egg the Scarlet Knights have laid this season.