College Football Odds: Week 11 Games With Biggest Line Moves

Iowa Hawkeyes Player Celebrates

Wednesday, November 9, 2016 2:45 PM GMT

A disappointing 1-2 against the spread mark on the games with the biggest line moves last week, hitting on Florida International (+30) but missing on Nebraska (+17) and Middle Tennessee (-20). Here are the three top Week 11  line moves at SBR's best sportsbooks.

No. 3 Michigan at Iowa (+21.5)

This Big Ten matchup had Michigan opening at -18.5. With all due respect to Alabama, the most dominant team in the nation thus far has been the Wolverines as they lead the country in point differential. They are No. 1 in the nation in scoring defense and Top 5 in scoring offense. Michigan has perhaps the best all-around player in the country in do-everything defensive back/linebacker/running back/kick returner Jabrill Peppers. He absolutely deserves a trip to New York for the Heisman ceremony. There's not much negative you can say about Michigan but this: it's only the school's second game outside its own state. Yep, the only time the Michigan football team had to get on a plane was on Oct. 8 and that resulted in a 78-0 win over Rutgers, one of the worst Power 5 programs in the country. It should also be noted that Michigan has played just one team ranked at the time, but Colorado and Penn State now are in the Top 25 even though they weren't when routed in Ann Arbor. Iowa is the defending Big Ten West Division champion but surely won't be returning to the conference title game with three conference losses. This concludes a really tough stretch of schedule as the Hawkeyes lost 17-9 to No. 10 Wisconsin on Oct. 22 and then 41-14 at No. 12 Penn State last week. This is the first time since 1999 that the Hawkeyes have been at least three-touchdown underdogs on college football odds at home. The Wolverines have lost in each of their last three visits to Iowa, however.  

NCAAF Free Pick: Iowa +21.5

Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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South Carolina at Florida (-11.5)

The Gators opened as 14-point favorites for this SEC East matchup and USC is taking the majority lean thus far on college football picks. Florida laid an egg last week in being dominated 31-10 at unranked Arkansas and that defeat opened up the East Division race in a big way. The Gators lead Kentucky and Tennessee by a game in the loss column; UF would win a tiebreaker with UK but lose it against the Vols, who should win out. Florida still has a tough trip remaining to LSU, a game that was postponed earlier this season in Gainesville due to Hurricane Matthew and moved to Baton Rouge on Nov. 19 because LSU refused to give up a home date. The main reason this line has moved is injuries to Florida: quarterback Luke Del Rio, center Cam Dillard and linebackers Jarrad Davis and Alex Anzalone, the team's two leading tacklers, are all out. Presumably, Purdue transfer Austin Appleby will start for Del Rio as he did so two games earlier this season when Del Rio was out. However, Coach Jim McIlwain didn't rule out freshmen Feleipe Franks or Kyle Trask of seeing the field. This game will certainly matter to USC coach Will Muschamp as he was fired by Florida as that school's head coach in the 2014 season. South Carolina ,a winner of three straight, would get bowl eligible with a victory.

NCAAF Free Pick: South Carolina +11.5

Best Line Offered: BookMaker

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Cincinnati at Central Florida (-12.5)

This American Athletic Conference game featuring two schools that were hoping to join the Big 12 if it had decided to expand last month saw UCF open as a 10.5-point favorite. Knights coach Scott Frost has done a fabulous job in Orlando as UCF was a royal mess last year in going winless but is now one win from getting bowl eligible. Frost is a former Oregon offensive coordinator in his first season with Central Florida and has done so well that there's talk that Oregon might try to hire him back as the head coach this offseason. Cincinnati, meanwhile, has been a disappointment and Coach Tommy Tuberville might be on the hot seat, especially after last week's 20-3 home loss to BYU when Tuberville was caught on tap yelling at an unruly fan, saying: "Go to hell! Get a job!" Tuberville did apologize but that's the last thing he needs. Expect the team better on third down to win this game. Cincinnati's defense ranks No. 123 in the nation in third-down conversion defense, allowing opponents to convert at 49.3 percent. The Knights are 123rd in third-down conversion offense, converting at 29.4 percent. UCF played Cincinnati for the first time ever last year and lost 52-7 in Ohio. It was Central Florida's first game after Coach George O'Leary's retirement.

NCAAF Free Pick: Cincinnati +12.5

Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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