College Football Odds: Coaches On Hot Seat In Power-5 Conferences

Matthew Jordan

Wednesday, June 17, 2015 12:48 AM GMT

Wednesday, Jun. 17, 2015 12:48 AM GMT

Coaching college football is a lucrative job but also incredibly stress-filled -- ask Urban Meyer about that. It's also a what have you done for me lately business. With that said, here's one coach in each Power-5 league who may be soon out of work.

ACC: Al Golden, Miami
In one regard, it's hard to blame Golden for Miami's 28-22 record in his four seasons. The Hurricanes were under that NCAA cloud for the first three years and they probably did overachieve with a 9-4 mark in 2013. Thus more was expected last season, but Miami dropped to 6-7 despite a great young quarterback in Brad Kaaya and one of the nation's better running backs in Duke Johnson (now in NFL). This is definitely a make-or-break season because Golden has one of the nation's top recruiting classes lined up for 2016. If Miami improves, then Golden probably hangs onto most of those guys and the future could be bright. It UM doesn't, Golden is gone, most recruits probably flip to other schools and it's time for a change in talent-rich south Florida. It's still a coveted  job despite being a small private school because of the talent available in that area.

2015 5Dimes Wins Total: 5 ('over' -215 favorite); Miami is a lock to win more than five games. That's crazy low.

Must Read: Ranking All Power Five Conferences

Big Ten: Kirk Ferentz, Iowa
If I'm being honest, Indiana's Kevin Wilson and Purdue's Darrell Hazell are more likely to be fired after this season than Ferentz, it's just that not much is expected from IU (which cares much more about basketball) and Purdue (ditto). Wilson has made Indiana somewhat watchable with a fun offense, but the Hoosiers can't stop anyone. He is 14-34 in four seasons there. Hazell is 4-20 in his two at Purdue. Neither team will approach a winning record this year. Ferentz might be the most overpaid coach in college football and there are annual expectations for Iowa, which used to be a Big Ten power. Before the 2010 season, Iowa stupidly gave Ferentz a huge extension through 2020. Since that '10 season, Iowa hasn't won more than eight games in a campaign and was a hugely disappointing 7-6 last year. Ferentz should have been canned by now but the school doesn't want to eat all that money, and the NFL doesn't have interest in him any longer.

2015 5Dimes Wins Total: 7 ('under' -125 favorite).

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Big 12: Paul Rhoads, Iowa State
Yep, both Division I football jobs could be open in Iowa later this year. "Rhoads Must Go" has become a popular phrase in Ames. The Cyclones, who already have had to replace successful and beloved basketball coach Fred Hoiberg recently, have gone backwards under Rhoads since playing in the Liberty Bowl in 2012. They fell to three wins in 2013 and two in 2014. Iowa State has had six winning seasons this century, but none since 2009 —Rhoads' first season with the Cyclones. One thing working in his behalf is a contract that runs through 2021. Interestingly, ISU has beaten Iowa three of the past four years. The loser of that game on Sept. 12 should get that resume out immediately.

2015 5Dimes Wins Total: 3 ('over' -140 favorite).

 

Pac-12: Mike MacIntyre, Colorado
There's really no reason that Colorado shouldn't be an annual power in the Pac-12. It's an amazing campus and generally regarded as one of the most fun schools in the country -- and that does matter to kids. But the Buffs haven't had a winning record since 2005, Gary Barnett's last season there. They have only 10 total wins since joining the Pac-12 for the 2011 season. Jon Embree was dumped after a 1-11 record in 2012 and MacIntyre, hired from San Jose State, improved that to 4-8 in 2013. However, CU slipped to 2-10 last year, winless in the Pac-12, and allowed 39 points per game, among the worst nationally.

2015 5Dimes Wins Total: 4 ('over' -170 favorite).

 

SEC: Derek Mason, Vanderbilt
This was the hardest conference to choose from because it seems like all the league coaches have pretty good job security. I considered Texas A&M's Kevin Sumlin as the Aggies have regressed in each of the past two seasons after an 11-2 debut in the SEC in 2012 and a Cotton Bowl win. But Sumlin is still recruiting like crazy and the Aggies fans love his offense. So I guess if I had to pick one it would be Vandy's Mason because I expect another long season for the Commodores against the college football odds. Mason hadn't been a head coach before, hired in January 2014 when he was Stanford's defensive coordinator. Vanderbilt was 3-9 last season and didn't win an SEC game. Both the offense and defense were among the worst in the nation. Mason has changed both coordinators, naming himself to lead the defense. So now it's really all on him. I certainly don't see a likely SEC win this season. Maybe home to Kentucky.

2015 5Dimes Wins Total: 3 ('over' -135 favorite). 

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