College Football Odds: Best ATS Picks For Week 14

Matthew Jordan

Thursday, December 1, 2016 7:59 PM UTC

Thursday, Dec. 1, 2016 7:59 PM UTC

I'm eight games over .500 this year on my best against the spread picks in college football so a decent profit, and Week 14 is the finale of the regular season. Here are three games this weekend (Saturday unless noted) I feel good about at SBR's best sportsbooks.

No. 8 Colorado Vs. No. 4 Washington (-7.5)

This Pac-12 Championship Game is Friday night from Levi's Stadium outside San Francisco, and I can tell you that just about every team below Washington in the most recent College Football Playoff Top 10 will be watching this intently. The Huskies will want to blow out the Buffs to ensure they get into the national semifinals. A double-digit win over a Top-10 team should do that. But a last-second ugly win? I could see No. 5 Michigan perhaps passing UW because of the Huskies' weak strength of schedule. And should Washington lose this game, that No. 4 spot is open to Michigan, No. 6 Wisconsin, No. 7 Penn State and Colorado. Can the Buffs do enough to reach the playoff? That would be tough with two losses and having already lost by 17 points at Michigan early in the season. Plus I'm not sure CU jumps even the Big Ten champion between the Badgers and Nittany Lions. But the Buffaloes have had one of the great turnarounds in college football history, improving from 4-9 overall and 1-8 in Pac-12 play to 10-2 and 8-1 this year. Colorado had a Pac-12 record of 5-41 overall before this season since joining in 2011. By the way, UW is going to be probably even better next year with QB Jake Browning, a likely Heisman finalist and the Pac-12 Offensive Player of the Year, and running back Myles Gaskin both returning. Washington led the conference in both scoring offense and scoring defense. How can you go against that?

NCAAF Free Pick: Huskies -7.5Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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San Diego State At Wyoming (+7.5)

This is the Mountain West Championship Game and it's not impossible that if San Diego State wins this game that it ends up in the Cotton Bowl as the highest-ranked Group of 5 school. For that to happen, the Aztecs, who were ranked earlier this season, would need No. 17 Western Michigan to lose in the Mid-American Conference Championship Game on Friday to Ohio (not likely) and No. 19 Navy to lose at home to Temple in the American Athletic Conference title game on Saturday ... or to lose to Army next weekend. Conferences split into divisions so they can potentially avoid a title game rematch from the regular season, but these schools just played one another on Nov. 19 in Laramie, and Wyoming won 34-33.  Cowboys QB Josh Allen threw for two touchdowns, including a 29-yard score to C.J. Johnson with 1:07 left in the game. SDSU pulled within 34-33 on a 23-yard TD pass from Christian Chapman to Quest Truxton with no time left. The Aztecs opted to go for 2 but were denied. That victory essentially earned Wyoming the Mountain Division title.

NCAAF Free Pick: Cowboys +7.5Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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No. 7 Penn State Vs. No. 6 Wisconsin (-2.5)

The Big Ten title game from Indianapolis. What will the committee do with the Big Ten champion? I don't think anyone can argue that either Penn State or Wisconsin is better than No. 2 Ohio State or No. 5 Michigan; the Badgers lost to both the Buckeyes and Wolverines in the regular season, albeit close, while the Nittany Lions upset OSU in a bit of a fluke but were crushed by UM. The winner here will not be in the playoff without one of No. 4 Washington or No. 3 Clemson losing this weekend. It probably will take both of them to lose for the winner here to get in. Most likely, the victor heads to the Rose Bowl vs. the Pac-12 title game loser. Penn State hasn't won the outright Big Ten championship since 1994 or played in the Rose Bowl since 2008. That was all pre-Jerry Sandusky scandal. Two key injuries here. Wisconsin redshirt freshman QB Alex Hornibrook suffered a concussion in last week's win over Minnesota and is questionable. Senior Bart Houston would get the call if Hornibrook can't play. PSU coach James Franklin expects Hornibrook to play, as do I. Lions running back Saquon Barkley, named the Big Ten Offensive Player of the Year, is dealing with an foot injury. He's going to play but will he be 100 percent?

NCAAF Free Pick: Badgers -2.5Best Line Offered: BookMaker

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