College Football - Home Field Advantage Key For Navy Against Red-Hot Temple

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, November 30, 2016 2:11 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 30, 2016 2:11 PM UTC

Ross Benjamin provides us with a thorough betting preview on Saturday’s AAC Championship Game between Temple and Navy. He provides his expert insight and gives a free College Football pick.

Ross’ College Football Record

Professional sports handicapper Ross Benjamin has gone an incredible 45-22 (67.2%) ATS this season with his college football picks.


College Football Betting Odds: Temple vs. Navy

#20 Navy will host Temple on Saturday in the American Athletic Conference Championship Game. The opening kickoff is slated for 12:00 PM ET, and it will be televised by ABC. These teams didn’t play each other during the regular season. They did meet 2 seasons ago at Temple, and Navy came away with a 31-24 win.

Current (11/29) college football point spread and totals at BetOnline indicates that Navy is a 3.0-point favorite, and there’s a total of 62.5. If you’re shopping for a reputable sportsbook, then check out my personal online sports betting ratings guide. While going there, you’ll notice that BetOnline has an A+ rating.


Red-Hot Owls

It seems like eons ago that Temple opened their season with a shocking 28-13 loss to Army. After starting the year 3-3, Temple caught fire down the final stretch. They finished their regular season campaign by going 6-0 SU&ATS in its last 6 games.


Temple Defending Navy’s Triple Option Offense

Speaking of that Army loss, there’s cause for concern when considering the Cadets run a very similar triple option offense in comparison to Navy. Army amassed a massive 329 yards rushing in that contest against Temple. Navy is averaging 342 yards rushing per game this season, and gets a robust 6.0 yards per attempt. It’s imperative that Temple does a much better job of defending Navy’s triple option that they did against Army.


Middies Dominant at Home

You may be surprised to know, Navy has gone 23-2 during their last 25 home games, and that includes a present 15-game win streak in Annapolis. Considering they’re only a field goal favorite in this contest, you can’t ignore Navy’s recent home field dominance.

Navy has scored 42 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games, and has only punted twice in the month of November. Senior quarterback Will Worth leads the nation with 23 rushing touchdowns, and is a far better passer than statistics would indicate.


Recent College Football ATS History Favors Navy

Navy has seemed to get stronger as the season progressed, and that was certainly evident during their last 2 games. The 9-2 (.818) Midshipmen walloped East Carolina 66-31 as a 7.5-point road favorite 2 weeks ago, and then last Saturday crushed SMU 75-31 while covering as a 7.0-point chalk. By the way, Temple has gone 2-31 in their last 33 road games versus an opponent with a win percentage of better than .750.

Any conference home favorite (Navy), coming off away favorite ATS wins in which they covered by 10.0 points or more during each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 SU&ATS since 2012. The average margin of victory was 22.2 points per game. It was icing that topped the cake in regards to making one of my college football picks for Saturday 12/3.

Free College Football Pick: Navy -3.0Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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