College Football Futures: How To Bet The Teams That Won't Make It To The Postseason

Vanderbilt head coach Derek Mason gets a bucket of water thrown at him

Joe Gavazzi

Wednesday, October 26, 2016 4:57 PM GMT

Wednesday, Oct. 26, 2016 4:57 PM GMT

The concept of “Towel-Tossers” is one I have successfully used for years in the 5 sports I handicap. Those are College ad NFL Football, College and NBA Basketball and MLB. The basic idea is very simple: there comes a point in the season when a team’s hopes for post-season play dim to the realization that they will not be invited to a post-season party and that can be turned into a College Football pick. 

 

It is at this point in time, before the line becomes over-adjusted, that we can look to play against these towel-tossers, who are lining up with negative momentum.  This article deals specifically with College Football. Let’s take a look at how it plays out in that sport.


As we enter the 9th Week of the 12-game College Football (regular season) most of the teams have played 7 or 8 games. They have had a chance to compare themselves to a slate of non-conference opponents in September, followed by 3 or 4 weeks of conference action against teams they play each season.  In short, the reality has set in, as to where they stand in relationship to the other 127 college football teams on the betting line, as well as within their own conference.


The college football post-season is unique in that the NCAA has set a standard of a minimum of 6 wins (with a few exceptions) in the 12-game regular season, if  you are going to be included in the post-season party, known as the “College Football Bowl Season.”  At this point in the season, if a team has already suffered their 6thdefeat and is playing with negative momentum, they have come to the realization that a post-season party invitation is likely not going to be forthcoming. This is the time when a team becomes a CFB towel-tosser. Exceptions to this rule come in the month of November, when a team plays a rivalry game as underdog. For, that rivalry meeting becomes THEIR BOWL GAME!  For those of you who are looking to define this play in more specific parameters, try using the following:


Play against any CFB towel-tosser, who enters today’s contest with 6 or more losses, has lost each of their last 2 games and is not playing their rivalry game of the year as an underdog. 

 

Stay Ahead Of The Game With College Football Betting Futures

 


As we approach the 9th week of the 2016 College Football season, there are no fewer than 7 teams who already qualify in that role this weekend.


As is the case in all handicapping, I advise you to FADE these Towel-Tossers, only after you have done your statistical, situational and technical handicapping that uncovers additional reasons to PLAY AGAINST them. One further note, as a general rule, it is best to limit the line of these games to 21 points and to always look for any remaining value in the College Football odds.  


Check my game analyses on this site for examples of games, in which I am looking to FADE a Towel-Tosser this weekend as my College Football picks.

 

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