College Football Free Pick For Georgia vs South Carolina - Sunday Game

Matthew Jordan

Friday, October 7, 2016 10:08 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 7, 2016 10:08 PM UTC

As of this writing, the Georgia-South Carolina game was scheduled for Saturday at 7:30 p.m. in Columbia. The game was pushed to Sunday at 2:30pm, here is our capper's college football pick.

How Will Bulldogs Bounce Back?

Let me be clear that I believe Georgia (3-2, 1-2 SEC) is the far better team than South Carolina, but I'm not sure what frame of mind the Bulldogs will be in. That's because their chances at winning the SEC East all but ended last week in one of the most crushing losses in school history, 34-31 at home to Tennessee.

Georgia led by as much at 17 points and was up the entire way until there was just under three minutes left as UT took a 28-24 lead. But then Georgia seemed to win the game on a 47-yard touchdown pass from true freshman Jacob Eason to Riley Ridley with 10 seconds to go for a 31-28 advantage. However, the Dawgs were called for excessive celebration as well as offside on the kickoff. Thus after a 20-yard kickoff return, UT had the ball on the Georgia 43. And that was close enough to the end zone where Vols QB Josh Dobbs could throw it that far. He did, and Jauan Jennings came down with the ball surrounded by five Georgia players for the 34-31 stunner. Tennessee's win probability was just 0.23 percent at one point,  making it the fourth-most improbable FBS comeback in the past decade.

A win in that game has Georgia in control of the SEC East. Now the Dawgs are basically 2.5 games behind the Vols. UGA star tailback Nick Chubb only got one carry vs. Tennessee because he was dealing with an ankle injury but was full go in practice this week. Chubb leads the Bulldogs with 84 carries for 425 yards and three touchdowns. Defensive lineman David Marshall, who missed the UT game with a concussion, is probable vs. USC.

Georgia is 2-3 ATS on college football odds and 2-3 O/U.


Gamecocks Haven't Settled On QB

A lot of people derided South Carolina's coaching search after Steve Spurrier retired during last season as USC ended up with former Florida coach Will Muschamp, and his tenure in Gainesville didn't end well. Things haven't started great for the Gamecocks (2-3, 1-3 SEC) as they have the most conference losses of any SEC team -- although they have played more games than anyone.

Offense has largely been the problem this year and that was the case again in last week's 24-13 home loss to No. 9 Texas A&M. USC actually had 378 yards and won time of possession but its only touchdown was 13 seconds into the game on an A.J. Turner 75-yard run. South Carolina is last in the SEC in yards (301.8), rushing yards (104.8) and points (14.0) per game in the SEC. Muschamp is a defensive guy and his undoing at Florida was a lousy offense.

The big question for this game is who starts at quarterback for USC. Freshman Brandon McIlwain started vs. Texas A&M but was replaced in the fourth quarter by senior Perry Orth -- he started the first two games of the year. Orth has been the slightly better passer this season and McIlwain the better runner.   

South Carolina was routed 52-20 at Georgia last year but has won the past three meetings in Columbia. This is the first time since USC joined the SEC that both schools enter off a loss entering the game. They usually play earlier in the season.

The Gamecocks are 3-2 ATS on college football picks and 0-5 O/U.

With Chubb back, give the points and go 'over' that really small total. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings. The 'over' is 4-1 in the past five. 

Remember to drop by SBR's list of the best-ranked bonuses, and find out which of the top sportsbooks is offering the top rated sportsbooks.


Free College Football Pick: South Carolina +7
Best Line Offered: at Bovada

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