College Football Expert Picks - Underdogs Who Will Get The Upset Alarm Buzzing

Temple Owls QB

Friday, October 14, 2016 1:26 PM GMT

It is the midpoint of the season for betting college football and all bettors should have a good read on most teams or conferences. Even the newbies should have enough info to pile up some cash.

 

While information is important, when reviewing all the college football odds, it helps to find underdogs which give you two chances to win, the first outright or the other, to slide under the number and cover the spread in that manner.

After using pick and shovel at A+ rated BetOnline, I have four underdogs this Saturday I feel can win outright for college football picks.

Doug's Record For These Upset Plays (8-8-1 ATS)

 Take a Look at These ACC Pooches

North Carolina really handled the wind and rain poorly at home last week in being vanquished by Virginia Tech 34-3. For the Tar Heels to have any sort of chance to return to ACC title game, they essentially have to win out. I expect them to bounce back even against a defense like Miami. I really wonder about the Hurricanes psyche after such a disappointing loss to Florida State and if QB Brad Kaaya is really 100 percent to go with an injured shoulder. No problem taking the +7 with Tar Heels and like +230 money line on them.

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After Virginia lost to Richmond, Oregon, and Connecticut, in many bettors minds the Cavaliers were to be dismissed. Yet, with victories over Central Michigan and Duke, first-year coach Bronco Mendenhall's team is playing with more self-assuredness. Pittsburgh is 4-2 but is just 1-4-1 ATS because of defense that cannot be trusted, with only Syracuse permitting more points in the ACC. Sharp bettors also punching tickets for Virginia, down from +5 to +3, for a team that is 8-1 ATS as a home underdog since 2014.

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Northern Illinois Huskies Show Teeth as Home Dogs

This is not vintage Northern Illinois squad that went to six straight MAC titles, winning four and earning Orange Bowl bid in 2013. The talent level is down and injuries have hurt the defense in particular. But this Huskies team is improving, beating the spread in last two outings. NIU is a three-point underdog to Central Michigan, which is a rarity. Northern Illinois has only been a home underdog five times in the past decade and is a perfect 5-0 ATS. With a 7-2 SU and ATS versus the Chippewas in DeKalb, the Huskies have what it takes to win.

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 Temple Owls Might Be Ornery

Former Oregon offensive coordinator Scott Frost is being given a lot of credit for improved play for Central Florida, coming off an unthinkable 0-12 campaign, just two years after upsetting Baylor in the Fiesta Bowl. The Knights are four-point home favorites over Temple. UCF at 3-2 and 4-1 ATS in noteworthy, but the Owls have covered five in a row and would have won outright at Memphis last week except for three turnovers, negating +208 yards edge in total yards. With Temple 18-7 ATS as underdogs, they have a real shot in Orlando.

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