College Football Betting: Back Memphis Minus TD At Struggling Cincinnati In AAC Action

Riley Ferguson Memphis

Tuesday, November 15, 2016 5:27 PM GMT

Two college football games to bet on this Friday night in Week 12, and the first matchup is from the American Athletic Conference as Memphis visits Cincinnati. The Tigers are 7-point favorites on BetOnline NCAA odds with a total of 57.5.

Tigers Looking To Improve Bowl Slot

This was expected to be a bit of a rebuilding season at Memphis considering the school lost record-setting quarterback Paxton Lynch to the NFL Draft off last year's very good team -- Lynch was a late first-round pick by Denver -- as well as rising superstar coach Justin Fuente to Virginia Tech.

But Memphis (6-4, 3-3 AAC) will be headed back to a bowl game under new coach Mike Norvell, the former Arizona State offensive coordinator. The Tigers are slumping a bit of late, however, having dropped three of four and the defense has given up at least 42 points in every loss this season. Memphis was beaten at home by South Florida 49-42 last Saturday. Bulls QB Quinton Flowers ran for the go-ahead touchdown with 1:22 to play.

On the next series, QB Riley Ferguson led the Tigers 61 yards to the South Florida 5-yard line, but then threw three incomplete passes. A fourth-down pass seemed like it could  have been pass interference on USF. Ferguson finished 29-for-46 for 331 yards, three touchdowns and a pick. Anthony Miller caught 10 balls for 153 yards and a score. He's having a big season with 67 catches for 1,077 yards (school record) and eight TDs.

Memphis ranks 16th nationally in scoring at 39.2 points per game but as noted above that defense has been a problem at times and gives up 27.3 points per game.  The Tigers have a handful of defensive players currently listed as questionable for this game. For sure out is cornerback B.J. Ross, who was carted off vs. USF with a neck injury.

The Tigers are 3-7 ATS this season on college football odds and 6-4 O/U.

 

Bearcats Must Win Out For Bowl

It sounds like Coach Tommy Tuberville is in big trouble at Cincinnati and is likely to be fired if the Bearcats (4-6, 1-5 ACC) don't make a bowl game -- and they have to beat Memphis and then win at Tulsa next week to do so. Sorry, but I don't see a sweep there. Tuberville led Cincinnati to nine-win seasons his first two years but dropped to a 7-6 mark last year and then potentially a losing record in 2016. It's been a rough year for the program as it hoped to join the Big 12 and was considered a favorite, but the conference opted not to expand.

Cincinnati brings a three-game losing streak into this one and has scored just 19 points in that stretch. Last week, it lost at Central Florida -- a school that was winless in 2015 -- by a score of 24-3. I have no idea who starts at QB here for UC. Hayden Moore returned to the starting lineup against UCF and struggled. Gunner Kiel, who had started the previous three games, did too. A third QB, Ross Trail, another former starter this year, was in for three plays and ran it all three. The trio combined to go 19-for-42 for 220 yards, no TDs and two picks. I think Moore will start, but you could see all three.

Cincinnati is 2-8 ATS on college football picks and 2-8 O/U. It's Senior Night at UC in the team's final home game. Kiel is a senior and Moore isn't so perhaps that influences the starting choice. Cincinnati has lost two straight to Memphis. It was 53-46 last year. Lean the Tigers again as they have the much better QB. Cincinnati is just 1-7 ATS in its past eight at home.

NCAAF Free Picks: Memphis -7 & Over 57.5Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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