For most teams, they have played one-third of their schedule and now diving head first into conference action. For those that are 4-0 to start the season, this is where things start to get tricky.
While the alumni can boast with pride about a 4-0 record, more serious bettors looking for an edge on college football futures are after the best value. This could mean the safest possible payout on a team like Alabama or make smaller wagers on long shots like Texas A&M or even Wisconsin. Remember, with new Final Four setup, you no longer have to win all your games, one loss keeps you in the mix.
The Big Boys
Of course picking Alabama (+333 odds) is not very exciting, nonetheless, winning is winning and riding the chalk is never a bad an idea with Nick Saban at the helm. After the Kentucky game this week, the Crimson Tide will be on the road three times out of four games and could be tripped up, but only once.
The winner of this week's Louisville (+588) and Clemson (+628) conflict takes a large step forward. The Cardinals would seem to all but have the Atlantic Division locked with a W, but would have an ever more intriguing matchup with Houston later. With a victory, the Tigers would have one more big game, at Florida State at the end October.
While Wisconsin (+5500) or Michigan State could upset the Big Ten apple cart, Ohio State (+489) and Michigan (+831) sure appear to be a collision course as 11-0 unbeaten's.
The Pac-12 North has the two strongest teams in the conference and Friday night either Stanford (+2397) or Washington (+1520) will escape unscathed. Looking ahead, both these teams have a few flaws presently and each could get tagged with one or two losses this season.
If Tennessee (+1468) knocks off Georgia this week, as long as they split with Texas A&M (+3075) and Alabama, they should reach SEC title tilt.
The Good and Bad of the Rest
The way Houston (+909) is playing, they deserve to be in the previous group, but being in the AAC holds them back unless they are 13-0, than they would deserve a shot at Final 4 with wins over Oklahoma and Louisville.
Nebraska's (+4639) NCAAF odds are higher because they have three road games at Wisconsin, Ohio State, and Iowa.
In the balanced Big 12, Baylor (+5000) is that conferences best hope, but nobody is convinced they will not pick up a couple losses, with the same true of Utah (+11000) out West.
Boise State (+16500) and San Diego State (no odds) could meet in MWC title game each 12-0, which would get one a Super Six bowl big most likely.
Doug's Current Futures Bets: Alabama, Ohio State, and Louisville/Clemson winner