College Football ATS History Clearly Favors West Virginia Over TCU

West Virginia Mountaineers QB

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, October 19, 2016 8:26 PM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 19, 2016 8:26 PM UTC

Are you thinking of making a wager on Saturday’s TCU and West Virginia game? Don’t make a move until you read this sports betting preview article on this contest by handicapper Ross Benjamin.

 College Football Week 8 Odds: TCU vs. West Virginia

#12 West Virginia and TCU will clash in a Big 12 Conference game on Saturday. The opening kickoff at Mountaineer Field in Morgantown, West Virginia is slated for 3:30 PM ET.

Current (10/19) college football betting odds at Bookmaker has West Virginia installed as a 6.0-point favorite, and there’s a posted total of 65.0. Bookmaker is rated as one of the best sportsbooks to wager with. Check out the generous cash bonuses they’re presently offering to new and existing customers.


College Football ATS History Suggests Fading Horned Frogs

TCU barely escaped with a 24-23 win in their previous game against perennial conference last place finisher Kansas. Needless to say, the Horned Frogs didn’t come close to covering as a substantial 30.5-point road favorite.

Any conference away underdog (TCU), coming off a conference away win in which they failed to cover by 10.0-points or more, versus an opponent with a win percentage of better than .750, resulted in those away underdogs going 0-8 ATS since 1992. Additionally, they lost those contests by a massive 31.0 points per game.

 Revenge Factor Favors Mountaineers

West Virginia will be playing with big time revenge stemming from last season’s 40-10 loss at TCU. The Mountaineers are coming off an impressive 48-17 win as a 3.0-point favorite at Texas Tech last Saturday. That win improved their unscathed record to 5-0.

Any conference home favorite of 15.5 or less (West Virginia), playing in game 6 or beyond, coming off a conference away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 17.5-points or more, versus an opponent coming off a win with and they’re not undefeated, resulted in those home favorites going a perfect 14-0 ATS since 2003. The average victory margin in those contests was a decisive 21.9 points per game.


Final Thoughts and Pick

Despite their 4-2 record, TCU has allowed 41 points or more on 3 separate occasions. Even in last week’s slim 1-point win over lowly Kansas, they surrendered 470 total yards to the Jayhawks offense.

West Virginia has a reputation of being an explosive offensive team since Dana Holgorsen took over as head coach. However, this season’s Mountaineers defense is allowing just 19.4 points per game. Add in the revenge factor, and I’m going with the home favorite for one of my college football week 8 picks.

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Free College Football Pick: West Virginia -6Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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