Clemson In Letdown Spot After Big Win So Back Georgia Tech +7 With Your College Football Picks

Joe Gavazzi

Wednesday, October 7, 2015 8:05 PM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 7, 2015 8:05 PM UTC

Georgia Tech clashes with Clemson in ACC action next Saturday and we looked at this game for our Lone Ranger college football pick this week.

Georgia Tech vs. Clemson (-7) - Saturday, October 10, 3:30 ET ABC
Georgia Tech visits Clemson for this 3:30 ET kickoff as televised by ABC.  With the college football odds firmly in our favor, it is my college football pick as the Lone Ranger Game of the Week.  Each week, I make a contrary selection that only you, me and the Lone Ranger will choose to bet.  The last 3 weeks in CFB action, this selection has gone 3-0-1 ATS.  When combined with the NFL in that time frame, the selections are 7-0-1 ATS.  Last week, our Lone Ranger Game was on Arkansas (+6), as they bounced back from 3 consecutive losses for the (24-20) victory as 7 point pup.  Hello, Georgia Tech! 


Yes, Georgia Tech, much like Arkansas last week, enters today’s play with 3 consecutive losses.  After devouring early season creampuffs at home by a count of 134-16 vs. Alcorn St. and Tulane, the Yellow Jackets have been stung badly in 3 consecutive games.  All 3 of those have come in in the role of favorite in losses to Notre Dame, Duke and N. Carolina.  As a result of those defeats, we get great value, as Tech now returns to a more comfortable underdog role in a great situation.  Under 8th year HC Johnson, the Jackets will stay true to their identity.  They run the ball from the triple option, averaging more than 300 YPG at well over 5.0 YPC in recent seasons.  This year, they are at 312/5.7, true to their identity!  The reality of this game is that the ground game has been good enough to dominate Clemson overland.  In the last 4 series meetings against the vaunted Clemson defense, Tech has averaged 305/5.9.   The most recent of those came last year, when Tech notched a (28-6) victory double rushing Clemson (a 75% chance at ATS success) by a count of 251-125.  That was in a season in which Clemson had one of the best defenses in the nation, allowing 104/3.0 overland.    

This year, the Tigers are rebuilding a bit on the defensive side with just 3 RS.  Predictably, they have fallen a bit, allowing 115/3.1 overland and 305 YPG.  But, the real reason we are fading the 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS Clemson Tigers is that this game follows a hold-your-breath win over Notre Dame last week with ESPN Game Day present in the Marquee Matchup of Saturday night.  Much emotion was spent and much emotional celebration followed, when Notre Dame scored 19 4th quarter points, but failed on their 2 point conversion to tie the game.  The eventual (24-22) Clemson win may have been a bit phony in that they were outgained by the Irish 437-296.  It makes a lot of sense that CFB teams have a Letdown after beating the Fighting Irish, one of the premier names in all of CFB. 

The situation is “all systems go” in this contest.  Tech has the embarrassment of 3 losses, while Clemson may still be celebrating a Notre Dame win.  With the fundamentals in place for the Tech ground game to succeed, I invite you to join me and the Lone Ranger in this underdog winner at a value price, knowing that we may be the only ones who suit up with the Georgia Tech players for this game.

 College Football Picks: Georgia Tech +7 at BetOnline

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