Capper's Top Evening College Football Picks You Need to Bet

David Lawrence

Friday, November 6, 2015 1:31 PM UTC

Friday, Nov. 6, 2015 1:31 PM UTC

Which teams will rise and which teams will fall? Let’s look at Saturday night’s card and identify three games worth considering from a betting angle. Check our top 3 college football picks.

Navy Midshipmen vs. Memphis Tigers
This is a game in which the key is to determine how well you think Memphis’ defense can hold up against Navy’s offense. Memphis has given up a lot of points to a number of teams this season, but the Tigers have been able to win because their offense has been superior in a number of shootouts. Quarterback Paxton Lynch has been sensational this season, leading his offense on scoring drives whenever the team has needed a boost. Lynch has been a great leader and a better passer. More than that, Lynch has tremendous physical strength – he shakes loose from tackles and slips away from defenders with slight and surprisingly subtle movements. He is a little bit like Ben Roethlisberger in that regard. Memphis’ offense should be okay, but it’s the defense which is the source of concern.

In this matchup with Navy, though, Memphis seems to have the right opponent. Navy is and long has been a top rushing team in the country, averaging well over 300 yards on an almost annual basis. The Midshipmen run the triple option while most programs are using spread passing attacks or pro-style approaches. Memphis just happens to be the kind of team Navy figures to struggle with. The Tigers’ big defensive weakness is the secondary. Memphis has trouble stopping the pass. The rush defense is strong, though – Memphis contained Ole Miss a few weeks ago because the Rebels tried to push around the Tigers up front. That’s not how you beat the Tigers. Navy has to be able to throw to win this game, and that’s not what Navy does. Take Memphis with your college football picks.

College Football Pick: Memphis -7.5 at Pinnacle

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Iowa State Cyclones vs. Oklahoma Sooners
The key point to make here is that Iowa State just faced an absolutely terrible Texas offense. The Cyclones were able to shut out the Longhorns, who have one of the worst passing attacks in the country. Now, Iowa State has to pivot from that and face the revved-up Sooner offense, with Baker Mayfield throwing the ball to a bunch of receivers and having Samaje Perine to hand the ball to. This is a mismatch, and Oklahoma – which has been playing very smoothly in recent weeks – is in great position to blow this game wide open.

College Football Pick: Oklahoma -25 at BetOnline

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Arizona Wildcats vs. USC Trojans
It’s true that USC did not even score 30 points last week against California, but the Trojans’ opponent is what makes this game lopsided. Arizona got bombed by 46 points at Washington, and the Huskies have a relatively mediocre offense. Although they were ranked in the Top 25 earlier this season, it’s become very clear that Rich Rodriguez’ team is severely flawed.

When you take a look at the trajectory of the two teams here, it seems that Arizona is on the decline and USC is on the rise. Arizona has lost four of six with their only two wins coming against Pac-12 laggards Oregon State and Colorado. As for their four losses, they have come by an average of 28.3 points per outing. USC should completely run wild and win by at least 30 if not more, so take them to cover the college football odds.

College Football Pick: USC -19.5 at 5Dimes

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