Capper's Keen Eye Spies Top 3 College Football Picks For Week 13

Matthew Jordan

Wednesday, November 25, 2015 1:37 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 25, 2015 1:37 PM UTC

The final full week of the college football season is upon us, it's been a successful season in my top college football picks so let's finish off with the best plays of the bunch.

Georgia vs. Georgia Tech
Back in August, this looked like it might be a potential College Football Playoff elimination game as Georgia was favored on the college football odds to win the SEC East Division and Georgia Tech was the same in the ACC Coastal. But it's been a hugely disappointing year for both schools. Might this be the final regular-season game at Georgia (8-3) for Coach Mark Richt? Quite possible, especially if the Dawgs lose. They do enter on a three-game winning streak but nearly were upset last week at home by Georgia Southern, prevailing in overtime. Georgia Tech (3-8) is shockingly bad. Somehow it beat then-unbeaten Florida State on Oct. 24 but that's been the Jackets' only win in their past nine games. The other two victories: against pushovers Alcorn State and Tulane to open the season. Tech has been held to exactly 21 points each during a three-game losing streak. Will it have starting QB Justin Thomas for this one? He left last week's loss in Miami in the first quarter due to injury and didn't return. Thomas is second on the team with 491 rushing yards and has thrown for 1,263 yards for 12 touchdowns. If Thomas is out, it would be the first game he has missed since becoming the starting quarterback in the first game of the 2014 season. Redshirt freshman Matthew Jordan, who subbed for Thomas vs. Miami, would make his first career start. Jordan fumbled an unthinkable six times vs. the Canes.

Even if Thomas plays, it's hard to imagine he's 100 percent. Jordan is definitely not ready for this. The Dawgs are 5-2 ATS in their past seven road games. Tech is 1-6 ATS in its past seven vs. teams with a winning record. Georgia has covered seven straight at Georgia Tech.

College Football Pick: Georgia -5 at Bookmaker

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#14 Florida State vs.  #8 Florida
Here's another ACC-SEC matchup. It means not as much in the grand scheme of things to the Seminoles, although there's an outside chance they might get high enough in the rankings with a win and some help to play in a New Year's Six bowl game. Florida, meanwhile, could definitely make the College Football Playoff with a win here and then in the SEC Championship Game next week, likely against Alabama. One interesting story line is that FSU running back Dalvin Cook, the ACC's best back, originally committed to Florida before flipping to FSU. Cook has set FSU's single-season rushing record with 1,475 yards. Cook's 18 rushes of at least 20 yards double UF's team total. Florida does rank eighth nationally against the run, allowing 108.3 yards per game. But in UF's lone loss to LSU, Leonard Fournette had 180 yards and two scores. Cook is about on his level. If it comes down to the kickers, FSU has perhaps the nation's best place-kicker in All-American Roberto Aguayo. UF's Austin Hardin has missed two of his past 10 extra points and three of his past five field goals. Could this be FSU coach Jimbo Fisher's final Florida game? He's being rumored as LSU's next coach if that school fires Les Miles.

This line actually opened with UF as a 2.5-point favorite. FSU is 4-1 ATS in its past five vs. teams with a winning record. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings.

College Football Pick: FSU -2 (-115) at BetOnline

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#4 Notre Dame vs. #11 Stanford 
It's the regular-season finale for Notre Dame, which of course doesn't have the option of playing in a conference title game. The Irish have a great case for the College Football Playoff with a win here. They clearly got caught looking ahead to this game last Saturday as Notre Dame only beat a bad Boston College team 19-16. The Irish had five turnovers and saw top running back C.J. Prosise and cornerback KeiVarae Russell suffer injuries. Russell is out  6-8 weeks with a tibia fracture. Prosise is doubtful with a sprained ankle. Stanford will play in the Pac-12 title game the week after this and still has hopes for the playoff with two more wins and some help. Running back Christian McCaffrey can bolster his Heisman hopes with a big game. He leads the nation in all-purpose yards and had a school-record 389 last week in a win over Cal. McCaffrey is 443 yards away from breaking the single-season all-purpose yardage mark held by Barry Sanders (3,250 yards). The Irish and Cardinal have a common opponent: both beat USC 41-31, but Stanford did it on the road.

Those injuries are big for Notre Dame. The Irish are 1-7 ATS in their past eight November games. Stanford is 7-2 ATS in its past nine vs. teams with a winning record. Play Stanfor as the college football pick.

College Football Pick: Stanford -3.5 at 5Dimes

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