Capper's College Football Picks on Friday's ATS Road Favorites

Steven Suarez

Friday, October 30, 2015 2:49 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 30, 2015 2:49 PM UTC

It may not be a pretty slate of games, but there's still money to be made with our college football picks for Friday night. 

As we mentioned, we don't really have any standout games on Friday night, but there are two spots where we think there's an edge to be had against the spread. Let's look closer.


Louisville Cardinals vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons 
The Cardinals seem to have turned the corner of late. With last week's win over Boston College, they've now gone 3-1 over their last four games, which includes a road triumph over NC State.

That means Louisville will take a 3-4 overall record into Friday night's road test at Wake Forest. When we look over the college football odds, we see the Cardinals favored by anywhere from 11 to 12 points, and there's a very low total of 42 that's been posted to the board. Both teams have been anemic offensively, so the low number makes sense.

Louisville's the favorite, so let's break down what the program has been doing lately. The Cardinals have managed three wins in their last four, after barely holding off the Eagles in a 17-14 win last week. This team has struggled offensively throughout the season, averaging 25.0 points per game (90th in the country), but they've fared better defensively, allowing 22.3 points on average, good for 38th-best mark in college football. It should be noted that Louisville has, however, looked more dangerous when they have football ever since Lamar Jackson over as the starting quarterback. He's been a true dual-threat, having already run for 482 yards and six touchdowns, both team highs.

Tonight the Cardinals are widely expected to take care of Wake Forest, a team that's lost two in a row and four of its last five overall. The Demon Deacons have been truly putrid offensively, putting up just 18.0 points a game, and like Louisville they've been relying on their defense to keep them competitive.

We don't see it happening tonight, though. Louisville is the much more talented team, and Jackson should have a big impact with his arm and legs. We're on the Cardinals despite the high number.

College Football Pick: Louisville -11 at 5Dimes

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East Carolina Pirates vs. Connecticut Huskies 
Oddmakers again aren't impressed at all with the home team on this occasion, as the Huskies are underdogs in the odds for tonight's matchup with East Carolina. The spread is currently at an even seven points, while the total is trading at right around 49 for now.

The Pirates are at 4-4 on the season, and they've failed to win more than two games in a row yet this season. Last week they fell 24-14 at home to Temple in what was a letdown following a 30-17 win over Tulsa. East Carolina is averaging 29.0 points per game while allowing 29.1 points a contest heading into tonight's game, Blake Kemp, Chris Hairston and Isaiah Jones, along with a few other key contributors, have been the team offensive leaders thus far.

As for the home team, the Huskies have been a mess this season. They're 3-5 on the year and come in having lost two straight and five of their previous six. They're averaging a meager 19.0 points per game, and while their defense has been far better (ranked 35th in scoring defense), it hasn't been enough to make up for the offensive inefficiencies.

What's the play here?

Once again we're going to be backing the road favorites, only this time we get a better number. The Pirates have held their own through what's been a challenging test of games, and so they should be well-prepared for this trip to UConn. Make East Carolina your college football pick to do just enough to cover this spread.

College Football Pick: East Carolina -7 at Pinnacle

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