Capper Picks Baylor to Steamroll Oklahoma State for Week 13

Joe Gavazzi

Thursday, November 20, 2014 7:42 PM GMT

The fundamentals, the situation and the technical all converge you can take off the rubber band as we bring your our free college football picks for our Steamroller of the Week.

Oklahoma State vs. Baylor 
Each week in the Pointspread Prognosis Newsletter, I isolate 1 team who will dominate their opponent at the point of attack, either by double rushing them or by recording 200 or more yards, both rushing and passing, while their opponent does not.  When the situation favors our selection as well, it becomes a dominant STEAMROLLER selection of the week in games that have won 60% of the time in the last 25 years. Such is the case with today’s college football picks

Oklahoma St. is a team who has had amazing offensive success under 10th year HC Gundy.  In the previous 4 seasons, the Cowboys have averaged 44 PPG and 516 YPG. Their record in that timeframe was 41-11 SU, 33-17 ATS.  In the world of college football betting, what goes up must eventually come down!  Such is the case for an Oklahoma St. team who must find a victory in their final 2 games of the season to extend their consecutive years of Bowl selection. Once the first shots are fired tonight, it will become painfully obvious that it will not happen. With QB Garman questionable with a concussion and an Oklahoma St. offense that has gone dormant, figures to have trouble scoring points again. In going 0-4 ATS of late, the Cowboys have scored just 40 total points, while allowing 152. Now, they must go into the hostile environment of Waco, where the Bears look to take no prisoners.

Baylor was headed toward an undefeated season and a possible national title game when they were derailed at Oklahoma St. (49-17) last season. It was their lone regular season loss of the year. The Bears’ statistical profile is as good as any team in the land.  Their 200 Club offense averages 50 points and 585 yards. This year, it is complemented by a defensive powerhouse that allows just 21 PPG and 322 YPG. 

The technicals reinforce our position as well. Under HC Briles, Baylor is 18-2 ATS on this field, including 10-0 ATS as a conference college football odds home favorite of 14 or more points and 9-0 ATS laying 24 or more points. With Oklahoma St. standing 0-5 ATS as conference road dog of more than 2 TDs, the home/road dichotomy is complete. Baylor has averaged 52 PPG in their last 26 games. If they do not STEAMROLL Oklahoma St. tonight, you got a major scoop!  

College Football Picks:  Baylor -28.5 at 5Dimes

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